Project Punt — AFL & NRL props, checked

Current to Round 20, yesterday

Nick Vlastuin

Richmond · vs WCE

1.5 FFO —U —

Hit rate

41% (7/17)

enter odds to compare

Avg

1.5

0.8

L10

1.6

High

← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering

Line Over Under

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for Round 21 vs WCE

Game conditionsM.C.G. · MelbourneRound 21 · 2026-08-02 13:10☁ 15.6°C☂ 0mm (0%)🌬 19.6 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly

Nickvs all playersStatWCE concedePer game

15.0Disposals371.4

9.6Kicks215.1

3.9Marks96.1

2.4Tackles61.7

0.4Clearances38.9

0.7Inside 50s52.9

5.1Contested Poss.133.7

0.1Goals14.7

Disposals

Nick15.0

WCE371.4

Kicks

Nick9.6

WCE215.1

Marks

Nick3.9

WCE96.1

Tackles

Nick2.4

WCE61.7

Clearances

Nick0.4

WCE38.9

Inside 50s

Nick0.7

WCE52.9

Contested Poss.

Nick5.1

WCE133.7

Goals

Nick0.1

WCE14.7

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

WCE concede · Frees For

20.6per game · league avg 19.0

#4 of 18 most conceded

They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Frees For

At M.C.G.1.2(81)+0.1

Everywhere else1.1(74)

Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Frees For

Wet games (≥1mm)1.4(17)+0.2

Dry games1.1(138)

Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.