Project Punt — AFL & NRL props, checked

Current to Round 20, yesterday

James Trezise

Richmond · vs WCE

0.5 FFO —U —

Hit rate

71% (10/14)

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Avg

0.9

0.8

L10

0.8

High

← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering

Line Over Under

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for Round 21 vs WCE

Game conditionsM.C.G. · MelbourneRound 21 · 2026-08-02 13:10☁ 15.6°C☂ 0mm (0%)🌬 19.6 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly

Jamesvs all playersStatWCE concedePer game

16.1Disposals371.4

7.9Kicks215.1

4.6Marks96.1

2.6Tackles61.7

0.8Clearances38.9

1.5Inside 50s52.9

4.7Contested Poss.133.7

0.1Goals14.7

Disposals

James16.1

WCE371.4

Kicks

James7.9

WCE215.1

Marks

James4.6

WCE96.1

Tackles

James2.6

WCE61.7

Clearances

James0.8

WCE38.9

Inside 50s

James1.5

WCE52.9

Contested Poss.

James4.7

WCE133.7

Goals

James0.1

WCE14.7

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

WCE concede · Frees For

20.6per game · league avg 19.0

#4 of 18 most conceded

They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Frees For

At M.C.G.0.5(23)-0.3

Everywhere else0.8(15)

Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Frees For

Wet games (≥1mm)1.0(4)+0.4

Dry games0.6(34)

Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.