Project Punt — AFL & NRL props, checked

Current to Round 20, yesterday

Toby Nankervis

Richmond · vs WCE

1.5 FFO —U —

Hit rate

43% (3/7)

enter odds to compare

Avg

1.4

1.2

L10

1.4

High

← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering

Line Over Under

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for Round 21 vs WCE

Game conditionsM.C.G. · MelbourneRound 21 · 2026-08-02 13:10☁ 15.6°C☂ 0mm (0%)🌬 19.6 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly

Tobyvs all playersStatWCE concedePer game

15.7Disposals371.4

6.3Kicks215.1

1.1Marks96.1

3.7Tackles61.7

6.1Clearances38.9

1.4Inside 50s52.9

9.0Contested Poss.133.7

0.3Goals14.7

Disposals

Toby15.7

WCE371.4

Kicks

Toby6.3

WCE215.1

Marks

Toby1.1

WCE96.1

Tackles

Toby3.7

WCE61.7

Clearances

Toby6.1

WCE38.9

Inside 50s

Toby1.4

WCE52.9

Contested Poss.

Toby9.0

WCE133.7

Goals

Toby0.3

WCE14.7

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

WCE concede · Frees For

20.6per game · league avg 19.0

#4 of 18 most conceded

They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Frees For

At M.C.G.1.4(69)+0.2

Everywhere else1.2(58)

Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Frees For

Wet games (≥1mm)1.0(10)-0.3

Dry games1.3(117)

Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.