Project Punt — AFL & NRL props, checked

Current to Round 20, yesterday

Steely Green

Richmond · vs WCE

0.5 FFO —U —

Hit rate

53% (9/17)

enter odds to compare

Avg

0.8

0.4

L10

0.8

High

← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering

Line Over Under

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for Round 21 vs WCE

Game conditionsM.C.G. · MelbourneRound 21 · 2026-08-02 13:10☁ 15.6°C☂ 0mm (0%)🌬 19.6 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly

Steelyvs all playersStatWCE concedePer game

11.1Disposals371.4

6.8Kicks215.1

2.9Marks96.1

2.4Tackles61.7

0.6Clearances38.9

1.8Inside 50s52.9

3.8Contested Poss.133.7

0.8Goals14.7

Disposals

Steely11.1

WCE371.4

Kicks

Steely6.8

WCE215.1

Marks

Steely2.9

WCE96.1

Tackles

Steely2.4

WCE61.7

Clearances

Steely0.6

WCE38.9

Inside 50s

Steely1.8

WCE52.9

Contested Poss.

Steely3.8

WCE133.7

Goals

Steely0.8

WCE14.7

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

WCE concede · Frees For

20.6per game · league avg 19.0

#4 of 18 most conceded

They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Frees For

At M.C.G.0.8(23)+0.4

Everywhere else0.4(18)

Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Frees For

Wet games (≥1mm)0.6(5)-0.1

Dry games0.7(36)

Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.