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© 2026 Project Punt · Every number is a real historical stat · Gamble responsibly · Credits
SOURound 23Sat 08-08 · 19:35PAR
MMMitchell MosesPTS5.5TSTallyn Da SilvaPTS1.5WPWill PenisiniPTS1.5IIIsaiah IongiPTS1.5RVRonald VolkmanPTS1.5BSBailey SimonssonPTS1.5JPJoash PapaliiPTS1.5JAJosh Addo-CarrPTS1.5JSJordan SamraniPTS1.5ATApa TwidlePTS1.5ANAraz NanvaPTS1.5SRSean RussellPTS1.5
LMLatrell MitchellPTS12.5TPTalanoa PenitaniPTS8.5BBBayleigh Bentley-HapePTS6.5AJAlex JohnstonPTS5.5LSLatrell SiegwaltPTS4.5CG

Line shown = half-line nearest season avg. Bring the real one from your bookie.

MMMitchell Moses5.5TSTallyn Da Silva1.5WPWill Penisini1.5IIIsaiah Iongi1.5RVRonald Volkman1.5BSBailey Simonsson1.5JPJoash Papalii1.5JAJosh Addo-Carr1.5
Campbell Graham
PTS
2.5
TDTallis DuncanPTS1.5
CWCody WalkerPTS1.5
AWAshton WardPTS1.5
JRJohn RadelPTS1.5
DJDayne JenningsPTS1.5
JWJack WightonPTS0.5
JSJordan Samrani1.5
ATApa Twidle1.5
ANAraz Nanva1.5
SRSean Russell1.5
LMLatrell Mitchell12.5
TPTalanoa Penitani8.5
BBBayleigh Bentley-Hape6.5
AJAlex Johnston5.5
LSLatrell Siegwalt4.5
CGCampbell Graham2.5
TDTallis Duncan1.5
CWCody Walker1.5
AWAshton Ward1.5
JRJohn Radel1.5
DJDayne Jennings1.5
JWJack Wighton0.5
TriesTry AssistsTackle BreaksLine BreaksRun MetresTacklesOffloadsRunsPointsGoalsLine Break AssistsPost Contact MetresFantasy Points
Current to Round 22, today
LM
Luca Moretti
Parramatta Eels · @ SOU
0.5 PTSO —U —
Hit rate
8% (1/13)
enter odds to compare
Avg
0.3
L5
0.0
L10
0.4
High
4
← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering
Splits · o0.5
0PENMar 280WSTApr 060GLDApr 120CBYApr 194MANApr 260WARMay 020NQLMay 080MELMay 160NEWMay 300CBYJun 080CBRJun 130SOUJun 25☂0PENJul 23?SOUAug 080.5
Line Over Under

Tap a bar for full game detail · newest on the right

Game conditionsAllianz Stadium · SydneyRound 23 · 2026-08-08 19:35☁ 14.4°C☂ 0mm (2%)🌬 15.9 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly
Lucavs all playersStatSOU concedePer game
71.2
42
Run Metresneutral
38
1656.5
Luca 71.2/game
SOU concedes 1656.5/game · league avg 1691.0
#11 of 17 clubs most conceded
1.5
51
Tackle Breaksneutral
81
34.4
Luca 1.5/game
SOU concedes 34.4/game · league avg 32.7
#4 of 17 clubs most conceded
18.1
57
Tacklesneutral
81
353.3
Luca 18.1/game
SOU concedes 353.3/game · league avg 345.0
#4 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.1
35
Triesneutral
50
4.1
Luca 0.1/game
SOU concedes 4.1/game · league avg 4.1
#9 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.0
0
Try Assistsunfavorable
44
3.3
Luca 0.0/game
SOU concedes 3.3/game · league avg 3.5
#10 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.3
68
Line Breaksneutral
38
4.6
Luca 0.3/game
SOU concedes 4.6/game · league avg 5.1
#11 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.5
64
Offloadsneutral
81
11.1
Luca 0.5/game
SOU concedes 11.1/game · league avg 9.8
#4 of 17 clubs most conceded
22.9
42
Post Contact Metresunfavorable
19
503.2
Luca 22.9/game
SOU concedes 503.2/game · league avg 545.5
#14 of 17 clubs most conceded
Run Metresneutral
Luca71.2
42
SOU1656.5
38
Luca 71.2/game
SOU concedes 1656.5/game · league avg 1691.0
#11 of 17 clubs most conceded
Tackle Breaksneutral
Luca1.5

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

SOU concede · Points

24.4per game · league avg 23.7
#9 of 17 most conceded
Middle of the road matchup.

Venue split · Points

At Allianz Stadium0.0(1)-0.2
Everywhere else0.2(49)
Only 1 game at this ground — thin evidence.

Wet vs dry · Points

Wet games (≥1mm)0.0(1)-0.2
Dry games0.2(49)
Only 1 wet game on record — thin evidence.

Similar players vs SOU · Points

Avg diff
+0.8
Avg diff %
+277%
Hit rate
3/8
beat their own average
DateTeamPlayerAvgResultDiff
08-02CROTeig Wilton1.60-100%
08-02CROJesse Colquhoun0.70-100%
08-02CROBlayke Brailey0.54+650%
08-02CROBriton Nikora0.94+367%
08-02CROCameron McInnes0.000%
08-02CROOregon Kaufusi0.20-100%
08-02CROJesse Ramien1.50-100%
08-02CROAddin Fonua-Blake0.24+1600%
Similar = season average within ±1.5 of Luca's. Computed from this app's own records.
51
SOU34.4
81
Luca 1.5/game
SOU concedes 34.4/game · league avg 32.7
#4 of 17 clubs most conceded
Tacklesneutral
Luca18.1
57
SOU353.3
81
Luca 18.1/game
SOU concedes 353.3/game · league avg 345.0
#4 of 17 clubs most conceded
Triesneutral
Luca0.1
35
SOU4.1
50
Luca 0.1/game
SOU concedes 4.1/game · league avg 4.1
#9 of 17 clubs most conceded
Try Assistsunfavorable
Luca0.0
0
SOU3.3
44
Luca 0.0/game
SOU concedes 3.3/game · league avg 3.5
#10 of 17 clubs most conceded
Line Breaksneutral
Luca0.3
68
SOU4.6
38
Luca 0.3/game
SOU concedes 4.6/game · league avg 5.1
#11 of 17 clubs most conceded
Offloadsneutral
Luca0.5
64
SOU11.1
81
Luca 0.5/game
SOU concedes 11.1/game · league avg 9.8
#4 of 17 clubs most conceded
Post Contact Metresunfavorable
Luca22.9
42
SOU503.2
19
Luca 22.9/game
SOU concedes 503.2/game · league avg 545.5
#14 of 17 clubs most conceded
All
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