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See allaflThu 19:30WBD◄NOR◄Fri 19:40BRI◄HAW◄See allnrlThu 19:50GLD◄NQL◄Fri 20:00WAR◄PEN◄See allnblFinalSYD113◄ADL101◄See allhorsesR1 13:30Randwick8 racesSee alldogsR1 13:30Wentworth Park8 races
SOURound 23Sat 08-08 · 19:35PAR
BSBailey SimonssonOFL1.5KKKitione KautogaOFL1.5BKBrian KellyOFL1.5JSJordan SamraniOFL1.5DBDylan BrownOFL1.5BTBlaize TalagiOFL0.5JPJunior PauloOFL0.5WGWiremu GreigOFL0.5WPWill PenisiniOFL0.5KTKelma TuilagiOFL0.5RVRonald VolkmanOFL0.5LMLuca MorettiOFL0.5
LMLatrell MitchellOFL2.5TDTallis DuncanOFL0.5CGCampbell GrahamOFL0.5CMCameron MurrayOFL0.5CWCody WalkerOFL0.5KK

Line shown = half-line nearest season avg. Bring the real one from your bookie.

BSBailey Simonsson1.5KKKitione Kautoga1.5BKBrian Kelly1.5JSJordan Samrani1.5DBDylan Brown1.5BTBlaize Talagi0.5JPJunior Paulo0.5WGWiremu Greig0.5
Keaon Koloamatangi
OFL
0.5
AJAlex JohnstonOFL0.5
LHLachlan HubnerOFL0.5
LILachlan IliasOFL0.5
AWAshton WardOFL0.5
JWJack WightonOFL0.5
SKSean KeppieOFL0.5
WPWill Penisini0.5
KTKelma Tuilagi0.5
RVRonald Volkman0.5
LMLuca Moretti0.5
LMLatrell Mitchell2.5
TDTallis Duncan0.5
CGCampbell Graham0.5
CMCameron Murray0.5
CWCody Walker0.5
KKKeaon Koloamatangi0.5
AJAlex Johnston0.5
LHLachlan Hubner0.5
LILachlan Ilias0.5
AWAshton Ward0.5
JWJack Wighton0.5
SKSean Keppie0.5
TriesTry AssistsTackle BreaksLine BreaksRun MetresTacklesOffloadsRunsPointsGoalsLine Break AssistsPost Contact MetresFantasy Points
Current to Round 22, today
LM
Luca Moretti
Parramatta Eels · @ SOU
0.5 OFLO —U —
Hit rate
38% (5/13)
enter odds to compare
Avg
0.5
L5
0.2
L10
0.5
High
3
← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering
Splits · o0.5
0PENMar 281WSTApr 061GLDApr 121CBYApr 193MANApr 260WARMay 020NQLMay 080MELMay 160NEWMay 300CBYJun 080CBRJun 131SOUJun 25☂0PENJul 23?SOUAug 080.5
Line Over Under

Tap a bar for full game detail · newest on the right

Game conditionsAllianz Stadium · SydneyRound 23 · 2026-08-08 19:35☁ 14.4°C☂ 0mm (2%)🌬 15.9 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly
Lucavs all playersStatSOU concedePer game
71.2
42
Run Metresneutral
38
1656.5
Luca 71.2/game
SOU concedes 1656.5/game · league avg 1691.0
#11 of 17 clubs most conceded
1.5
51
Tackle Breaksneutral
81
34.4
Luca 1.5/game
SOU concedes 34.4/game · league avg 32.7
#4 of 17 clubs most conceded
18.1
57
Tacklesneutral
81
353.3
Luca 18.1/game
SOU concedes 353.3/game · league avg 345.0
#4 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.1
35
Triesneutral
50
4.1
Luca 0.1/game
SOU concedes 4.1/game · league avg 4.1
#9 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.0
0
Try Assistsunfavorable
44
3.3
Luca 0.0/game
SOU concedes 3.3/game · league avg 3.5
#10 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.3
68
Line Breaksneutral
38
4.6
Luca 0.3/game
SOU concedes 4.6/game · league avg 5.1
#11 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.5
64
Offloadsneutral
81
11.1
Luca 0.5/game
SOU concedes 11.1/game · league avg 9.8
#4 of 17 clubs most conceded
22.9
42
Post Contact Metresunfavorable
19
503.2
Luca 22.9/game
SOU concedes 503.2/game · league avg 545.5
#14 of 17 clubs most conceded
Run Metresneutral
Luca71.2
42
SOU1656.5
38
Luca 71.2/game
SOU concedes 1656.5/game · league avg 1691.0
#11 of 17 clubs most conceded
Tackle Breaksneutral
Luca1.5

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

SOU concede · Offloads

11.1per game · league avg 9.8
#4 of 17 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Offloads

At Allianz Stadium1.0(1)+0.4
Everywhere else0.6(49)
Only 1 game at this ground — thin evidence.

Wet vs dry · Offloads

Wet games (≥1mm)1.0(1)+0.4
Dry games0.6(49)
Only 1 wet game on record — thin evidence.

Similar players vs SOU · Offloads

Avg diff
+0.6
Avg diff %
+40%
Hit rate
6/8
beat their own average
DateTeamPlayerAvgResultDiff
08-02CROKL Iro0.61+80%
08-02CRONicho Hynes1.64+146%
08-02CROSione Katoa0.50-100%
08-02CROJesse Ramien0.91+8%
08-02CRORonaldo Mulitalo1.43+114%
08-02CROBraydon Trindall0.41+138%
08-02CROWilliam Kennedy0.30-100%
08-02CROBlayke Brailey0.71+36%
Similar = season average within ±1.5 of Luca's. Computed from this app's own records.
51
SOU34.4
81
Luca 1.5/game
SOU concedes 34.4/game · league avg 32.7
#4 of 17 clubs most conceded
Tacklesneutral
Luca18.1
57
SOU353.3
81
Luca 18.1/game
SOU concedes 353.3/game · league avg 345.0
#4 of 17 clubs most conceded
Triesneutral
Luca0.1
35
SOU4.1
50
Luca 0.1/game
SOU concedes 4.1/game · league avg 4.1
#9 of 17 clubs most conceded
Try Assistsunfavorable
Luca0.0
0
SOU3.3
44
Luca 0.0/game
SOU concedes 3.3/game · league avg 3.5
#10 of 17 clubs most conceded
Line Breaksneutral
Luca0.3
68
SOU4.6
38
Luca 0.3/game
SOU concedes 4.6/game · league avg 5.1
#11 of 17 clubs most conceded
Offloadsneutral
Luca0.5
64
SOU11.1
81
Luca 0.5/game
SOU concedes 11.1/game · league avg 9.8
#4 of 17 clubs most conceded
Post Contact Metresunfavorable
Luca22.9
42
SOU503.2
19
Luca 22.9/game
SOU concedes 503.2/game · league avg 545.5
#14 of 17 clubs most conceded