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See allaflThu 19:30WBD◄NOR◄Fri 19:40BRI◄HAW◄See allnrlThu 19:50GLD◄NQL◄Fri 20:00WAR◄PEN◄See allnblFinalSYD113◄ADL101◄See allhorsesR1 13:30Randwick8 racesSee alldogsR1 13:30Wentworth Park8 races
SOURound 23Sat 08-08 · 19:35PAR
IIIsaiah IongiRUN19.5BSBailey SimonssonRUN18.5BKBrian KellyRUN18.5JSJordan SamraniRUN15.5WPWill PenisiniRUN14.5DBDylan BrownRUN14.5ANAraz NanvaRUN13.5JAJosh Addo-CarrRUN12.5JWJack WilliamsRUN12.5KKKitione KautogaRUN12.5JPJunior PauloRUN11.5SRSean RussellRUN11.5
KKKeaon KoloamatangiRUN17.5MDMatthew DuftyRUN16.5CGCampbell GrahamRUN16.5BBBayleigh Bentley-HapeRUN16.5TDTallis DuncanRUN14.5TP

Line shown = half-line nearest season avg. Bring the real one from your bookie.

IIIsaiah Iongi19.5BSBailey Simonsson18.5BKBrian Kelly18.5JSJordan Samrani15.5WPWill Penisini14.5DBDylan Brown14.5ANAraz Nanva13.5JAJosh Addo-Carr12.5
Talanoa Penitani
RUN
14.5
JGJye GrayRUN13.5
TTTevita TatolaRUN13.5
AJAlex JohnstonRUN12.5
CMCameron MurrayRUN12.5
JWJack WightonRUN12.5
LMLatrell MitchellRUN11.5
JWJack Williams12.5
KKKitione Kautoga12.5
JPJunior Paulo11.5
SRSean Russell11.5
KKKeaon Koloamatangi17.5
MDMatthew Dufty16.5
CGCampbell Graham16.5
BBBayleigh Bentley-Hape16.5
TDTallis Duncan14.5
TPTalanoa Penitani14.5
JGJye Gray13.5
TTTevita Tatola13.5
AJAlex Johnston12.5
CMCameron Murray12.5
JWJack Wighton12.5
LMLatrell Mitchell11.5
TriesTry AssistsTackle BreaksLine BreaksRun MetresTacklesOffloadsRunsPointsGoalsLine Break AssistsPost Contact MetresFantasy Points
Current to Round 22, today
LM
Luca Moretti
Parramatta Eels · @ SOU
8.5 RUNO —U —
Hit rate
46% (6/13)
enter odds to compare
Avg
8.0
L5
6.6
L10
8.8
High
13
← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering
Splits · o8.5
4PENMar 287WSTApr 065GLDApr 1212CBYApr 1913MANApr 2610WARMay 0211NQLMay 089MELMay 168NEWMay 306CBYJun 085CBRJun 1310SOUJun 25☂4PENJul 23?SOUAug 088.5
Line Over Under

Tap a bar for full game detail · newest on the right

Game conditionsAllianz Stadium · SydneyRound 23 · 2026-08-08 19:35☁ 14.4°C☂ 0mm (2%)🌬 15.9 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly
Lucavs all playersStatSOU concedePer game
71.2
42
Run Metresneutral
38
1656.5
Luca 71.2/game
SOU concedes 1656.5/game · league avg 1691.0
#11 of 17 clubs most conceded
1.5
51
Tackle Breaksneutral
81
34.4
Luca 1.5/game
SOU concedes 34.4/game · league avg 32.7
#4 of 17 clubs most conceded
18.1
57
Tacklesneutral
81
353.3
Luca 18.1/game
SOU concedes 353.3/game · league avg 345.0
#4 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.1
35
Triesneutral
50
4.1
Luca 0.1/game
SOU concedes 4.1/game · league avg 4.1
#9 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.0
0
Try Assistsunfavorable
44
3.3
Luca 0.0/game
SOU concedes 3.3/game · league avg 3.5
#10 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.3
68
Line Breaksneutral
38
4.6
Luca 0.3/game
SOU concedes 4.6/game · league avg 5.1
#11 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.5
64
Offloadsneutral
81
11.1
Luca 0.5/game
SOU concedes 11.1/game · league avg 9.8
#4 of 17 clubs most conceded
22.9
42
Post Contact Metresunfavorable
19
503.2
Luca 22.9/game
SOU concedes 503.2/game · league avg 545.5
#14 of 17 clubs most conceded
Run Metresneutral
Luca71.2
42
SOU1656.5
38
Luca 71.2/game
SOU concedes 1656.5/game · league avg 1691.0
#11 of 17 clubs most conceded
Tackle Breaksneutral
Luca1.5

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

SOU concede · Runs

180.1per game · league avg 186.3
#15 of 17 most conceded
Stingy against this stat — the over fights uphill.

Venue split · Runs

At Allianz Stadium5.0(1)-2.2
Everywhere else7.2(49)
Only 1 game at this ground — thin evidence.

Wet vs dry · Runs

Wet games (≥1mm)10.0(1)+2.9
Dry games7.1(49)
Only 1 wet game on record — thin evidence.

Similar players vs SOU · Runs

Avg diff
+2.1
Avg diff %
+27%
Hit rate
4/8
beat their own average
DateTeamPlayerAvgResultDiff
08-02CROThomas Hazelton9.49-4%
08-02CROSiosifa Talakai7.96-24%
08-02CROBilly Burns8.55-41%
08-02CROBriton Nikora9.218+95%
07-24MELSiulagi Tuimalatu-Brown6.513+100%
07-24MELHarry Grant7.91-87%
07-24MELAlec MacDonald7.411+48%
07-24MELOryn Keeley8.319+129%
Similar = season average within ±1.5 of Luca's. Computed from this app's own records.
51
SOU34.4
81
Luca 1.5/game
SOU concedes 34.4/game · league avg 32.7
#4 of 17 clubs most conceded
Tacklesneutral
Luca18.1
57
SOU353.3
81
Luca 18.1/game
SOU concedes 353.3/game · league avg 345.0
#4 of 17 clubs most conceded
Triesneutral
Luca0.1
35
SOU4.1
50
Luca 0.1/game
SOU concedes 4.1/game · league avg 4.1
#9 of 17 clubs most conceded
Try Assistsunfavorable
Luca0.0
0
SOU3.3
44
Luca 0.0/game
SOU concedes 3.3/game · league avg 3.5
#10 of 17 clubs most conceded
Line Breaksneutral
Luca0.3
68
SOU4.6
38
Luca 0.3/game
SOU concedes 4.6/game · league avg 5.1
#11 of 17 clubs most conceded
Offloadsneutral
Luca0.5
64
SOU11.1
81
Luca 0.5/game
SOU concedes 11.1/game · league avg 9.8
#4 of 17 clubs most conceded
Post Contact Metresunfavorable
Luca22.9
42
SOU503.2
19
Luca 22.9/game
SOU concedes 503.2/game · league avg 545.5
#14 of 17 clubs most conceded