Project Punt — AFL & NRL props, checked

Current to Round 20, yesterday

Jarrod Berry

Brisbane Lions · @ CAR

2.5 TKO —U —

Hit rate

46% (6/13)

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Avg

2.4

2.0

L10

2.3

High

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Line Over Under

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for Round 21 @ CAR

Game conditionsDocklands · MelbourneRound 21 · 2026-08-01 19:40Roof — weather neutral

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly

Jarrodvs all playersStatCAR concedePer game

18.3Disposals363.6

11.4Kicks210.2

5.2Marks89.8

2.4Tackles59.8

2.1Clearances35.7

2.7Inside 50s52.9

5.9Contested Poss.127.7

0.2Goals12.8

Disposals

Jarrod18.3

CAR363.6

Kicks

Jarrod11.4

CAR210.2

Marks

Jarrod5.2

CAR89.8

Tackles

Jarrod2.4

CAR59.8

Clearances

Jarrod2.1

CAR35.7

Inside 50s

Jarrod2.7

CAR52.9

Contested Poss.

Jarrod5.9

CAR127.7

Goals

Jarrod0.2

CAR12.8

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

CAR concede · Tackles

59.8per game · league avg 56.9

#7 of 18 most conceded

Middle of the road matchup.

Venue split · Tackles

At Docklands3.3(13)

Everywhere else3.3(147)

Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Tackles

Wet games (≥1mm)3.4(9)+0.2

Dry games3.3(151)

Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.