Project Punt — AFL & NRL props, checked

Jarrod Berry

Brisbane Lions · vs POR

0.5 FFO —U —

Hit rate

62% (8/13)

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Avg

0.9

0.2

L10

0.6

High

← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering

Line Over Under

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for Round 20 vs POR

Game conditionsGabba · BrisbaneRound 20 · 2026-07-26 13:10☁ 19.4°C☂ 0mm (0%)🌬 2.2 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly

Jarrodvs all playersStatPOR concedePer game

18.3Disposals361.6

11.4Kicks207.9

5.2Marks92.1

2.4Tackles59.0

2.1Clearances32.3

2.7Inside 50s49.4

5.9Contested Poss.127.2

0.2Goals11.7

Disposals

Jarrod18.3

POR361.6

Kicks

Jarrod11.4

POR207.9

Marks

Jarrod5.2

POR92.1

Tackles

Jarrod2.4

POR59.0

Clearances

Jarrod2.1

POR32.3

Inside 50s

Jarrod2.7

POR49.4

Contested Poss.

Jarrod5.9

POR127.2

Goals

Jarrod0.2

POR11.7

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

POR concede · Frees For

19.9per game · league avg 19.0

#7 of 18 most conceded

Middle of the road matchup.

Venue split · Frees For

At Gabba1.4(27)+0.2

Everywhere else1.2(37)

Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Frees For

Wet games (≥1mm)1.5(2)+0.2

Dry games1.3(62)

Only 2 wet games on record — thin evidence.