AFL
PProjectPunt
Zac Bailey
Zac Bailey
Brisbane Lions · vs POR
2.5 TKO U
Hit rate
59% (10/17)
enter odds to compare
Avg
2.9
L5
2.8
L10
2.8
High
6
← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering
3WBDMar 074STKMar 283COLApr 025NORApr 110MELApr 192ADEApr 264ESSMay 021CARMay 083GEEMay 146GWSMay 242FREMay 302GCSJun 060RICJun 146SYDJun 254GEEJul 020ESSJul 124WCEJul 18?PORJul 262.5
Line Over Under

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for Round 20 vs POR
Game conditionsGabba · BrisbaneRound 20 · 2026-07-26 13:1019.2°C0mm (0%)🌬 2.6 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly
Disposals
Zac21.3
POR361.6
Kicks
Zac13.6
POR207.9
Marks
Zac5.3
POR92.1
Tackles
Zac2.9
POR59.0
Clearances
Zac3.3
POR32.3
Inside 50s
Zac4.3
POR49.4
Contested poss.
Zac7.6
POR127.2
Goals
Zac1.5
POR11.7

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

POR concede · Tackles

59.0per game · league avg 56.9
#8 of 18 most conceded
Middle of the road matchup.

Venue split · Tackles

At Gabba2.6(28)+0.2
Everywhere else2.4(37)
Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Tackles

Wet games (≥1mm)1.0(1)-1.5
Dry games2.5(64)
Only 1 wet game on record — thin evidence.