AFL
PProjectPunt
Zac Bailey
Zac Bailey
Brisbane Lions · vs POR
5.5 MKO U
Hit rate
47% (8/17)
enter odds to compare
Avg
5.3
L5
5.0
L10
5.2
High
9
← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering
2WBDMar 077STKMar 287COLApr 024NORApr 112MELApr 199ADEApr 267ESSMay 027CARMay 084GEEMay 147GWSMay 244FREMay 305GCSJun 066RICJun 143SYDJun 255GEEJul 024ESSJul 127WCEJul 18?PORJul 265.5
Line Over Under

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for Round 20 vs POR
Game conditionsGabba · BrisbaneRound 20 · 2026-07-26 13:1019.2°C0mm (0%)🌬 2.6 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly
Disposals
Zac21.3
POR361.6
Kicks
Zac13.6
POR207.9
Marks
Zac5.3
POR92.1
Tackles
Zac2.9
POR59.0
Clearances
Zac3.3
POR32.3
Inside 50s
Zac4.3
POR49.4
Contested poss.
Zac7.6
POR127.2
Goals
Zac1.5
POR11.7

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

POR concede · Marks

92.1per game · league avg 93.0
#8 of 18 most conceded
Middle of the road matchup.

Venue split · Marks

At Gabba4.6(28)-0.1
Everywhere else4.8(37)
Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Marks

Wet games (≥1mm)4.0(1)-0.7
Dry games4.7(64)
Only 1 wet game on record — thin evidence.