AFL
PProjectPunt
Zac Bailey
Zac Bailey
Brisbane Lions · vs POR
13.5 KIO U
Hit rate
47% (8/17)
enter odds to compare
Avg
13.6
L5
14.6
L10
14.0
High
21
← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering
8WBDMar 0712STKMar 2817COLApr 0214NORApr 119MELApr 1917ADEApr 2615ESSMay 029CARMay 0813GEEMay 1411GWSMay 2421FREMay 3013GCSJun 0618RICJun 1413SYDJun 2513GEEJul 0214ESSJul 1215WCEJul 18?PORJul 2613.5
Line Over Under

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for Round 20 vs POR
Game conditionsGabba · BrisbaneRound 20 · 2026-07-26 13:1019.2°C0mm (0%)🌬 2.6 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly
Disposals
Zac21.3
POR361.6
Kicks
Zac13.6
POR207.9
Marks
Zac5.3
POR92.1
Tackles
Zac2.9
POR59.0
Clearances
Zac3.3
POR32.3
Inside 50s
Zac4.3
POR49.4
Contested poss.
Zac7.6
POR127.2
Goals
Zac1.5
POR11.7

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

POR concede · Kicks

207.9per game · league avg 213.8
#13 of 18 most conceded
Stingy against this stat — the over fights uphill.

Venue split · Kicks

At Gabba11.8(28)-0.1
Everywhere else11.9(37)
Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Kicks

Wet games (≥1mm)11.0(1)-0.9
Dry games11.9(64)
Only 1 wet game on record — thin evidence.