Project Punt — AFL & NRL props, checked

Current to Round 20, 2 days ago

Zac Bailey

Brisbane Lions · @ CAR

1.5 GAO —U —

Hit rate

35% (6/17)

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Avg

1.1

1.2

L10

1.1

High

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Line Over Under

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for Round 21 @ CAR

Game conditionsDocklands · MelbourneRound 21 · 2026-08-01 19:40Roof — weather neutral

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly

Zacvs all playersStatCAR concedePer game

21.3Disposals363.6

13.6Kicks210.2

5.3Marks89.8

2.9Tackles59.8

3.3Clearances35.7

4.3Inside 50s52.9

7.6Contested Poss.127.7

1.5Goals12.8

Disposals

Zac21.3

CAR363.6

Kicks

Zac13.6

CAR210.2

Marks

Zac5.3

CAR89.8

Tackles

Zac2.9

CAR59.8

Clearances

Zac3.3

CAR35.7

Inside 50s

Zac4.3

CAR52.9

Contested Poss.

Zac7.6

CAR127.7

Goals

Zac1.5

CAR12.8

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

CAR concede · Goal Assists

9.2per game · league avg 9.3

#10 of 18 most conceded

Middle of the road matchup.

Venue split · Goal Assists

At Docklands0.4(16)-0.1

Everywhere else0.6(155)

Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Goal Assists

Wet games (≥1mm)0.6(7)

Dry games0.6(164)

Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.