P
Current to Round 20, yesterday
Zac Bailey
Zac Bailey
Brisbane Lions · @ CAR
0.5 FFO U
Hit rate
59% (10/17)
enter odds to compare
Avg
0.8
L5
1.2
L10
0.8
High
4
← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering
1WBDMar 071STKMar 281COLApr 020NORApr 110MELApr 191ADEApr 262ESSMay 020CARMay 081GEEMay 140GWSMay 241FREMay 300GCSJun 060RICJun 144SYDJun 250GEEJul 021ESSJul 121WCEJul 18?CARAug 010.5
Line Over Under

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for Round 21 @ CAR
Game conditionsDocklands · MelbourneRound 21 · 2026-08-01 19:40Roof — weather neutral

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly
Disposals
Zac21.3
CAR363.6
Kicks
Zac13.6
CAR210.2
Marks
Zac5.3
CAR89.8
Tackles
Zac2.9
CAR59.8
Clearances
Zac3.3
CAR35.7
Inside 50s
Zac4.3
CAR52.9
Contested Poss.
Zac7.6
CAR127.7
Goals
Zac1.5
CAR12.8

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

CAR concede · Frees For

20.1per game · league avg 19.0
#6 of 18 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Frees For

At Docklands0.6(16)-0.2
Everywhere else0.8(155)
Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Frees For

Wet games (≥1mm)1.4(7)+0.7
Dry games0.7(164)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.