AFL
PProjectPunt
Zac Bailey
Zac Bailey
Brisbane Lions · vs POR
0.5 FFO U
Hit rate
59% (10/17)
enter odds to compare
Avg
0.8
L5
1.2
L10
0.8
High
4
← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering
1WBDMar 071STKMar 281COLApr 020NORApr 110MELApr 191ADEApr 262ESSMay 020CARMay 081GEEMay 140GWSMay 241FREMay 300GCSJun 060RICJun 144SYDJun 250GEEJul 021ESSJul 121WCEJul 18?PORJul 260.5
Line Over Under

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for Round 20 vs POR
Game conditionsGabba · BrisbaneRound 20 · 2026-07-26 13:1019.2°C0mm (0%)🌬 2.6 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly
Disposals
Zac21.3
POR361.6
Kicks
Zac13.6
POR207.9
Marks
Zac5.3
POR92.1
Tackles
Zac2.9
POR59.0
Clearances
Zac3.3
POR32.3
Inside 50s
Zac4.3
POR49.4
Contested poss.
Zac7.6
POR127.2
Goals
Zac1.5
POR11.7

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

POR concede · Frees For

19.9per game · league avg 19.0
#7 of 18 most conceded
Middle of the road matchup.

Venue split · Frees For

At Gabba1.0(28)+0.1
Everywhere else0.9(37)
Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Frees For

Wet games (≥1mm)3.0(1)+2.1
Dry games0.9(64)
Only 1 wet game on record — thin evidence.