AFL
PProjectPunt
Zac Bailey
Zac Bailey
Brisbane Lions · vs POR
21.5 DIO U
Hit rate
41% (7/17)
enter odds to compare
Avg
21.3
L5
22.8
L10
21.7
High
30
← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering
18WBDMar 0717STKMar 2825COLApr 0221NORApr 1114MELApr 1929ADEApr 2621ESSMay 0214CARMay 0818GEEMay 1417GWSMay 2430FREMay 3024GCSJun 0625RICJun 1420SYDJun 2520GEEJul 0223ESSJul 1226WCEJul 18?PORJul 2621.5
Line Over Under

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for Round 20 vs POR
Game conditionsGabba · BrisbaneRound 20 · 2026-07-26 13:1018.9°C0mm (0%)🌬 3.1 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly
Disposals
Zac21.3
POR361.6
Kicks
Zac13.6
POR207.9
Marks
Zac5.3
POR92.1
Tackles
Zac2.9
POR59.0
Clearances
Zac3.3
POR32.3
Inside 50s
Zac4.3
POR49.4
Contested poss.
Zac7.6
POR127.2
Goals
Zac1.5
POR11.7

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

POR concede · Disposals

361.6per game · league avg 369.3
#12 of 18 most conceded
Middle of the road matchup.

Venue split · Disposals

At Gabba18.6(28)-0.8
Everywhere else19.4(37)
Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Disposals

Wet games (≥1mm)21.0(1)+2.0
Dry games19.0(64)
Only 1 wet game on record — thin evidence.