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Game conditionsHBF Park · PerthRound 23 · 2026-08-08 13:00☁ 14.9°C☂ 0mm (20%)🌬 15.7 km/hClear
Matchup Analyser
Percentile rankings · 2026
higher = more over-friendly
Lukevs all playersStatMEL concedePer game
80.6
50
Run Metresneutral
50
1698.3
Luke 80.6/game
MEL concedes 1698.3/game · league avg 1691.0
#9 of 17 clubs most conceded
1.7
59
Tackle Breaksneutral
56
33.3
Luke 1.7/game
MEL concedes 33.3/game · league avg 32.7
#8 of 17 clubs most conceded
20.7
64
Tacklesunfavorable
25
338.1
Luke 20.7/game
MEL concedes 338.1/game · league avg 345.0
#13 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.1
48
Triesneutral
69
4.5
Luke 0.1/game
MEL concedes 4.5/game · league avg 4.1
#6 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.5
87
Try Assistsfavorable
63
3.6
Luke 0.5/game
MEL concedes 3.6/game · league avg 3.5
#7 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.2
52
Line Breaksneutral
94
6.5
Luke 0.2/game
MEL concedes 6.5/game · league avg 5.1
#2 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.6
69
Offloadsneutral
50
9.8
Luke 0.6/game
MEL concedes 9.8/game · league avg 9.8
#9 of 17 clubs most conceded
12.7
24
Post Contact Metresneutral
69
569.6
Luke 12.7/game
MEL concedes 569.6/game · league avg 545.5
#6 of 17 clubs most conceded
Run Metresneutral
Luke80.6
50
MEL1698.3
50
Luke 80.6/game
MEL concedes 1698.3/game · league avg 1691.0
#9 of 17 clubs most conceded
Tackle Breaksneutral
Luke1.7
Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.
MEL concede · Fantasy Points
649.2per game · league avg 645.8
#7 of 17 most conceded
Middle of the road matchup.
Venue split · Fantasy Points
At HBF Park—(0)
Everywhere else41.6(122)
Only 0 games at this ground — thin evidence.
Wet vs dry · Fantasy Points
Wet games (≥1mm)29.3(8)-13.2
Dry games42.5(114)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.
Similar players vs MEL · Fantasy Points
Avg diff
+5.8
Avg diff %
+12%
Hit rate
4/8
beat their own average
DateTeamPlayerAvgResultDiff
07-31CBYJaeman Salmon43.271+65%
07-31CBYHarry Hayes32.922-33%
07-31CBYBailey Hayward34.123-33%
07-31CBYViliame Kikau42.951+19%
07-31CBYEnari Tuala41.136-12%
07-31CBYConnor Tracey35.430-15%
07-31CBYStephen Crichton42.367+58%
07-24SOUAshton Ward39.157+46%
Similar = season average within ±5.8 of Luke's. Computed from this app's own records.