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Game conditionsHBF Park · PerthRound 23 · 2026-08-08 13:00☁ 14.9°C☂ 0mm (20%)🌬 15.7 km/hClear
Matchup Analyser
Percentile rankings · 2026
higher = more over-friendly
Tomvs all playersStatMEL concedePer game
159.6
92
Run Metresneutral
50
1698.3
Tom 159.6/game
MEL concedes 1698.3/game · league avg 1691.0
#9 of 17 clubs most conceded
3.1
86
Tackle Breaksneutral
56
33.3
Tom 3.1/game
MEL concedes 33.3/game · league avg 32.7
#8 of 17 clubs most conceded
2.5
6
Tacklesunfavorable
25
338.1
Tom 2.5/game
MEL concedes 338.1/game · league avg 345.0
#13 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.6
93
Triesfavorable
69
4.5
Tom 0.6/game
MEL concedes 4.5/game · league avg 4.1
#6 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.7
94
Try Assistsfavorable
63
3.6
Tom 0.7/game
MEL concedes 3.6/game · league avg 3.5
#7 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.5
79
Line Breaksfavorable
94
6.5
Tom 0.5/game
MEL concedes 6.5/game · league avg 5.1
#2 of 17 clubs most conceded
1.5
96
Offloadsneutral
50
9.8
Tom 1.5/game
MEL concedes 9.8/game · league avg 9.8
#9 of 17 clubs most conceded
38.3
71
Post Contact Metresfavorable
69
569.6
Tom 38.3/game
MEL concedes 569.6/game · league avg 545.5
#6 of 17 clubs most conceded
Run Metresneutral
Tom159.6
92
MEL1698.3
50
Tom 159.6/game
MEL concedes 1698.3/game · league avg 1691.0
#9 of 17 clubs most conceded
Tackle Breaksneutral
Tom3.1
Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.
MEL concede · Runs
192.3per game · league avg 186.3
#5 of 17 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.
Venue split · Runs
At HBF Park—(0)
Everywhere else19.7(85)
Only 0 games at this ground — thin evidence.
Wet vs dry · Runs
Wet games (≥1mm)19.7(7)
Dry games19.7(78)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.
Similar players vs MEL · Runs
Avg diff
+0.0
Avg diff %
+1%
Hit rate
2/8
beat their own average
DateTeamPlayerAvgResultDiff
07-31CBYConnor Tracey20.113-35%
07-31CBYJacob Kiraz20.319-6%
07-31CBYEnari Tuala16.214-14%
07-24SOUCampbell Graham16.116-1%
07-24SOUKeaon Koloamatangi17.615-15%
07-24SOUMatthew Dufty16.826+55%
07-17SYDMark Nawaqanitawase16.721+26%
07-17SYDBilly Smith16.216-1%
Similar = season average within ±2.8 of Tom's. Computed from this app's own records.
Nathan Brown11.5