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Game conditionsGo Media Stadium · AucklandRound 23 · 2026-08-07 20:00☁ 10.2°C☂ 0mm (10%)🌬 11.1 km/hClear
Matchup Analyser
Percentile rankings · 2026
higher = more over-friendly
Alivs all playersStatPEN concedePer game
99.6
61
Run Metresunfavorable
25
1564.5
Ali 99.6/game
PEN concedes 1564.5/game · league avg 1691.0
#13 of 17 clubs most conceded
3.4
90
Tackle Breaksunfavorable
25
31.2
Ali 3.4/game
PEN concedes 31.2/game · league avg 32.7
#13 of 17 clubs most conceded
13.7
41
Tacklesneutral
100
369.8
Ali 13.7/game
PEN concedes 369.8/game · league avg 345.0
#1 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.3
68
Triesunfavorable
0
2.5
Ali 0.3/game
PEN concedes 2.5/game · league avg 4.1
#17 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.3
80
Try Assistsunfavorable
0
2.3
Ali 0.3/game
PEN concedes 2.3/game · league avg 3.5
#17 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.4
78
Line Breaksunfavorable
0
3.9
Ali 0.4/game
PEN concedes 3.9/game · league avg 5.1
#17 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.4
52
Offloadsunfavorable
6
8.3
Ali 0.4/game
PEN concedes 8.3/game · league avg 9.8
#16 of 17 clubs most conceded
29.4
55
Post Contact Metresneutral
50
545.3
Ali 29.4/game
PEN concedes 545.3/game · league avg 545.5
#9 of 17 clubs most conceded
Run Metresunfavorable
Ali99.6
61
PEN1564.5
25
Ali 99.6/game
PEN concedes 1564.5/game · league avg 1691.0
#13 of 17 clubs most conceded
Tackle Breaksunfavorable
Ali3.4
Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.
PEN concede · Tackles
369.8per game · league avg 345.0
#1 of 17 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.
Venue split · Tackles
At Go Media Stadium14.3(11)+2.2
Everywhere else12.1(21)
Since 2024, all stats real.
Wet vs dry · Tackles
Wet games (≥1mm)—(0)
Dry games12.8(32)
Only 0 wet games on record — thin evidence.
Similar players vs PEN · Tackles
Avg diff
+1.4
Avg diff %
+10%
Hit rate
4/8
beat their own average
DateTeamPlayerAvgResultDiff
08-01CBRDaine Laurie13.89-35%
07-23PARHarrison Edwards15.622+41%
07-23PARJordan Samrani12.921+63%
07-23PARTeancum Brown11.623+98%
07-16BRIVa'a Semu11.70-100%
07-16BRIAdam Reynolds15.126+72%
07-16BRIKotoni Staggs15.69-42%
07-03SOUJack Wighton12.510-20%
Similar = season average within ±2.1 of Ali's. Computed from this app's own records.
Liam Henry32.5