PProject Punt
AFLNRLNBLHorsesDogs
⌕/
Sign inSign up
© 2026 Project Punt · Every number is a real historical stat · Gamble responsibly · Credits
All
See allaflThu 19:30WBD◄NOR◄Fri 19:40BRI◄HAW◄See allnrlThu 19:50GLD◄NQL◄Fri 20:00WAR◄PEN◄See allnblFinalSYD113◄ADL101◄See allhorsesR1 13:30Randwick8 racesSee alldogsR1 13:30Wentworth Park8 races
WARRound 23Fri 08-07 · 20:00PEN
ECErin ClarkOFL1.5TMTe Maire MartinOFL1.5RPRiley PriceOFL1.5DWDallin Watene-ZelezniakOFL0.5CNCharnze Nicoll-KlokstadOFL0.5JFJackson FordOFL0.5MBMitchell BarnettOFL0.5KCKurt CapewellOFL0.5JFJames Fisher-HarrisOFL0.5WEWayde EganOFL0.5APAdam PompeyOFL0.5DVDemitric VaimaugaOFL0.5
IPIsaiah Papali'iOFL1.5PAPaul AlamotiOFL1.5NCNathan ClearyOFL1.5IYIsaah YeoOFL1.5LMLiam MartinOFL1.5TM

Line shown = half-line nearest season avg. Bring the real one from your bookie.

ECErin Clark1.5TMTe Maire Martin1.5RPRiley Price1.5DWDallin Watene-Zelezniak0.5CNCharnze Nicoll-Klokstad0.5JFJackson Ford0.5MBMitchell Barnett0.5KCKurt Capewell
Taylan May
OFL
1.5
TJThomas JenkinsOFL0.5
MLMoses LeotaOFL0.5
LPLuron PateaOFL0.5
LSLindsay SmithOFL0.5
CMCasey McLeanOFL0.5
ITIzack TagoOFL0.5
0.5
JFJames Fisher-Harris0.5
WEWayde Egan0.5
APAdam Pompey0.5
DVDemitric Vaimauga0.5
IPIsaiah Papali'i1.5
PAPaul Alamoti1.5
NCNathan Cleary1.5
IYIsaah Yeo1.5
LMLiam Martin1.5
TMTaylan May1.5
TJThomas Jenkins0.5
MLMoses Leota0.5
LPLuron Patea0.5
LSLindsay Smith0.5
CMCasey McLean0.5
ITIzack Tago0.5
TriesTry AssistsTackle BreaksLine BreaksRun MetresTacklesOffloadsRunsPointsGoalsLine Break AssistsPost Contact MetresFantasy Points
Current to Round 22, today
AL
Ali Leiataua
New Zealand Warriors · vs PEN
0.5 OFLO —U —
Hit rate
38% (6/16)
enter odds to compare
Avg
0.4
L5
0.4
L10
0.4
High
1
← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering
Splits · o0.5
0SYDMar 060CBRMar 130NEWMar 211MELApr 111GLDApr 180DOLApr 251BRIMay 170SGIMay 230PENMay 310CROJun 131NQLJun 210DOLJun 271WSTJul 100SGIJul 181CBYJul 250GLDAug 01?PENAug 070.5
Line Over Under

Tap a bar for full game detail · newest on the right

Game conditionsGo Media Stadium · AucklandRound 23 · 2026-08-07 20:00☁ 10.2°C☂ 0mm (10%)🌬 11.1 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly
Alivs all playersStatPEN concedePer game
99.6
61
Run Metresunfavorable
25
1564.5
Ali 99.6/game
PEN concedes 1564.5/game · league avg 1691.0
#13 of 17 clubs most conceded
3.4
90
Tackle Breaksunfavorable
25
31.2
Ali 3.4/game
PEN concedes 31.2/game · league avg 32.7
#13 of 17 clubs most conceded
13.7
41
Tacklesneutral
100
369.8
Ali 13.7/game
PEN concedes 369.8/game · league avg 345.0
#1 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.3
68
Triesunfavorable
0
2.5
Ali 0.3/game
PEN concedes 2.5/game · league avg 4.1
#17 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.3
80
Try Assistsunfavorable
0
2.3
Ali 0.3/game
PEN concedes 2.3/game · league avg 3.5
#17 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.4
78
Line Breaksunfavorable
0
3.9
Ali 0.4/game
PEN concedes 3.9/game · league avg 5.1
#17 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.4
52
Offloadsunfavorable
6
8.3
Ali 0.4/game
PEN concedes 8.3/game · league avg 9.8
#16 of 17 clubs most conceded
29.4
55
Post Contact Metresneutral
50
545.3
Ali 29.4/game
PEN concedes 545.3/game · league avg 545.5
#9 of 17 clubs most conceded
Run Metresunfavorable
Ali99.6
61
PEN1564.5
25
Ali 99.6/game
PEN concedes 1564.5/game · league avg 1691.0
#13 of 17 clubs most conceded
Tackle Breaksunfavorable
Ali3.4

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

PEN concede · Offloads

8.3per game · league avg 9.8
#16 of 17 most conceded
Stingy against this stat — the over fights uphill.

Venue split · Offloads

At Go Media Stadium0.4(11)-0.1
Everywhere else0.5(21)
Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Offloads

Wet games (≥1mm)—(0)
Dry games0.4(32)
Only 0 wet games on record — thin evidence.

Similar players vs PEN · Offloads

Avg diff
+0.2
Avg diff %
+9%
Hit rate
4/8
beat their own average
DateTeamPlayerAvgResultDiff
08-01CBRXavier Savage0.10-100%
08-01CBRCorey Horsburgh1.41-26%
08-01CBRJed Stuart0.20-100%
08-01CBRMatthew Timoko1.22+68%
08-01CBREthan Strange0.82+162%
08-01CBREthan Sanders0.30-100%
08-01CBRKaeo Weekes0.51+100%
08-01CBROwen Pattie0.61+71%
Similar = season average within ±1.5 of Ali's. Computed from this app's own records.
90
PEN31.2
25
Ali 3.4/game
PEN concedes 31.2/game · league avg 32.7
#13 of 17 clubs most conceded
Tacklesneutral
Ali13.7
41
PEN369.8
100
Ali 13.7/game
PEN concedes 369.8/game · league avg 345.0
#1 of 17 clubs most conceded
Triesunfavorable
Ali0.3
68
PEN2.5
0
Ali 0.3/game
PEN concedes 2.5/game · league avg 4.1
#17 of 17 clubs most conceded
Try Assistsunfavorable
Ali0.3
80
PEN2.3
0
Ali 0.3/game
PEN concedes 2.3/game · league avg 3.5
#17 of 17 clubs most conceded
Line Breaksunfavorable
Ali0.4
78
PEN3.9
0
Ali 0.4/game
PEN concedes 3.9/game · league avg 5.1
#17 of 17 clubs most conceded
Offloadsunfavorable
Ali0.4
52
PEN8.3
6
Ali 0.4/game
PEN concedes 8.3/game · league avg 9.8
#16 of 17 clubs most conceded
Post Contact Metresneutral
Ali29.4
55
PEN545.3
50
Ali 29.4/game
PEN concedes 545.3/game · league avg 545.5
#9 of 17 clubs most conceded