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© 2026 Project Punt · Every number is a real historical stat · Gamble responsibly · Credits
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See allaflThu 19:30WBD◄NOR◄Fri 19:40BRI◄HAW◄See allnrlThu 19:50GLD◄NQL◄Fri 20:00WAR◄PEN◄See allnblFinalSYD113◄ADL101◄See allhorsesR1 13:30Randwick8 racesSee alldogsR1 13:30Wentworth Park8 races
WARRound 23Fri 08-07 · 20:00PEN
JFJackson FordRM160.5TTTaine TuaupikiRM154.5RTRoger Tuivasa-SheckRM152.5DWDallin Watene-ZelezniakRM152.5MBMitchell BarnettRM147.5JFJames Fisher-HarrisRM142.5ECErin ClarkRM134.5MMMarcelo MontoyaRM125.5CNCharnze Nicoll-KlokstadRM123.5AKAlofiana Khan-PereiraRM112.5TSTanner Stowers-SmithRM108.5APAdam PompeyRM102.5
DEDylan EdwardsRM217.5BTBrian To'oRM192.5TJThomas JenkinsRM190.5CMCasey McLeanRM140.5PAPaul AlamotiRM139.5IP

Line shown = half-line nearest season avg. Bring the real one from your bookie.

JFJackson Ford160.5TTTaine Tuaupiki154.5RTRoger Tuivasa-Sheck152.5DWDallin Watene-Zelezniak152.5MBMitchell Barnett147.5JFJames Fisher-Harris142.5ECErin Clark134.5MMMarcelo Montoya
Isaiah Papali'i
RM
125.5
IYIsaah YeoRM124.5
Liam HenryLiam HenryRM123.5
JEJaxen EdgarRM119.5
TMTaylan MayRM115.5
MLMoses LeotaRM104.5
NCNathan ClearyRM103.5
125.5
CNCharnze Nicoll-Klokstad123.5
AKAlofiana Khan-Pereira112.5
TSTanner Stowers-Smith108.5
APAdam Pompey102.5
DEDylan Edwards217.5
BTBrian To'o192.5
TJThomas Jenkins190.5
CMCasey McLean140.5
PAPaul Alamoti139.5
IPIsaiah Papali'i125.5
IYIsaah Yeo124.5
Liam HenryLiam Henry123.5
JEJaxen Edgar119.5
TMTaylan May115.5
MLMoses Leota104.5
NCNathan Cleary103.5
TriesTry AssistsTackle BreaksLine BreaksRun MetresTacklesOffloadsRunsPointsGoalsLine Break AssistsPost Contact MetresFantasy Points
Current to Round 22, today
AL
Ali Leiataua
New Zealand Warriors · vs PEN
99.5 RMO —U —
Hit rate
50% (8/16)
enter odds to compare
Avg
99.6
L5
140.0
L10
116.9
High
174
← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering
Splits · o99.5
92SYDMar 06115CBRMar 1340NEWMar 2137MELApr 1178GLDApr 1862DOLApr 25104BRIMay 1796SGIMay 2370PENMay 3180CROJun 13119NQLJun 21123DOLJun 27148WSTJul 10146SGIJul 18109CBYJul 25174GLDAug 01?PENAug 0799.5
Line Over Under

Tap a bar for full game detail · newest on the right

Game conditionsGo Media Stadium · AucklandRound 23 · 2026-08-07 20:00☁ 10.2°C☂ 0mm (10%)🌬 11.1 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly
Alivs all playersStatPEN concedePer game
99.6
61
Run Metresunfavorable
25
1564.5
Ali 99.6/game
PEN concedes 1564.5/game · league avg 1691.0
#13 of 17 clubs most conceded
3.4
90
Tackle Breaksunfavorable
25
31.2
Ali 3.4/game
PEN concedes 31.2/game · league avg 32.7
#13 of 17 clubs most conceded
13.7
41
Tacklesneutral
100
369.8
Ali 13.7/game
PEN concedes 369.8/game · league avg 345.0
#1 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.3
68
Triesunfavorable
0
2.5
Ali 0.3/game
PEN concedes 2.5/game · league avg 4.1
#17 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.3
80
Try Assistsunfavorable
0
2.3
Ali 0.3/game
PEN concedes 2.3/game · league avg 3.5
#17 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.4
78
Line Breaksunfavorable
0
3.9
Ali 0.4/game
PEN concedes 3.9/game · league avg 5.1
#17 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.4
52
Offloadsunfavorable
6
8.3
Ali 0.4/game
PEN concedes 8.3/game · league avg 9.8
#16 of 17 clubs most conceded
29.4
55
Post Contact Metresneutral
50
545.3
Ali 29.4/game
PEN concedes 545.3/game · league avg 545.5
#9 of 17 clubs most conceded
Run Metresunfavorable
Ali99.6
61
PEN1564.5
25
Ali 99.6/game
PEN concedes 1564.5/game · league avg 1691.0
#13 of 17 clubs most conceded
Tackle Breaksunfavorable
Ali3.4

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

PEN concede · Run Metres

1564.5per game · league avg 1691.0
#13 of 17 most conceded
Stingy against this stat — the over fights uphill.

Venue split · Run Metres

At Go Media Stadium96.9(11)-3.0
Everywhere else100.0(21)
Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Run Metres

Wet games (≥1mm)—(0)
Dry games98.9(32)
Only 0 wet games on record — thin evidence.

Similar players vs PEN · Run Metres

Avg diff
+26.3
Avg diff %
+26%
Hit rate
5/8
beat their own average
DateTeamPlayerAvgResultDiff
08-01CBRZac Hosking97.0121+25%
08-01CBRAta Mariota88.781-9%
08-01CBRSebastian Kris112.8108-4%
07-23PARJack Williams112.9131+16%
07-23PARKitione Kautoga102.497-5%
07-23PARKelma Tuilagi92.4117+27%
07-16BRIJordan Riki108.7174+60%
07-16BRIGehamat Shibasaki102.1198+94%
Similar = season average within ±14.9 of Ali's. Computed from this app's own records.
90
PEN31.2
25
Ali 3.4/game
PEN concedes 31.2/game · league avg 32.7
#13 of 17 clubs most conceded
Tacklesneutral
Ali13.7
41
PEN369.8
100
Ali 13.7/game
PEN concedes 369.8/game · league avg 345.0
#1 of 17 clubs most conceded
Triesunfavorable
Ali0.3
68
PEN2.5
0
Ali 0.3/game
PEN concedes 2.5/game · league avg 4.1
#17 of 17 clubs most conceded
Try Assistsunfavorable
Ali0.3
80
PEN2.3
0
Ali 0.3/game
PEN concedes 2.3/game · league avg 3.5
#17 of 17 clubs most conceded
Line Breaksunfavorable
Ali0.4
78
PEN3.9
0
Ali 0.4/game
PEN concedes 3.9/game · league avg 5.1
#17 of 17 clubs most conceded
Offloadsunfavorable
Ali0.4
52
PEN8.3
6
Ali 0.4/game
PEN concedes 8.3/game · league avg 9.8
#16 of 17 clubs most conceded
Post Contact Metresneutral
Ali29.4
55
PEN545.3
50
Ali 29.4/game
PEN concedes 545.3/game · league avg 545.5
#9 of 17 clubs most conceded