AFL
PProjectPunt
Will Ashcroft
Will Ashcroft
Brisbane Lions · vs POR
1.5 FFO U
Hit rate
39% (7/18)
enter odds to compare
Avg
1.2
L5
1.8
L10
1.5
High
3
← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering
0WBDMar 072SYDMar 142STKMar 281COLApr 021NORApr 110MELApr 190ADEApr 260ESSMay 021CARMay 082GEEMay 141GWSMay 242FREMay 300GCSJun 062RICJun 141SYDJun 251GEEJul 023ESSJul 122WCEJul 18?PORJul 261.5
Line Over Under

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for Round 20 vs POR
Game conditionsGabba · BrisbaneRound 20 · 2026-07-26 13:1019.2°C0mm (0%)🌬 2.6 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly
Disposals
Will28.0
POR361.6
Kicks
Will16.5
POR207.9
Marks
Will5.1
POR92.1
Tackles
Will3.6
POR59.0
Clearances
Will5.3
POR32.3
Inside 50s
Will4.6
POR49.4
Contested poss.
Will9.3
POR127.2
Goals
Will0.6
POR11.7

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

POR concede · Frees For

19.9per game · league avg 19.0
#7 of 18 most conceded
Middle of the road matchup.

Venue split · Frees For

At Gabba1.5(26)+0.4
Everywhere else1.0(32)
Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Frees For

Wet games (≥1mm)1.0(1)-0.2
Dry games1.2(57)
Only 1 wet game on record — thin evidence.