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© 2026 Project Punt · Every number is a real historical stat · Gamble responsibly · Credits
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See allaflThu 19:30WBD◄NOR◄Fri 19:40BRI◄HAW◄See allnrlThu 19:50GLD◄NQL◄Fri 20:00WAR◄PEN◄See allnblFinalSYD113◄ADL101◄See allhorsesR1 13:30Randwick8 racesSee alldogsR1 13:30Wentworth Park8 races
WARRound 23Fri 08-07 · 20:00PEN
TTTaine TuaupikiTB4.5ALAli LeiatauaTB3.5MMMarcelo MontoyaTB3.5RPRiley PriceTB3.5LHLeka HalasimaTB2.5TMTe Maire MartinTB2.5AKAlofiana Khan-PereiraTB2.5CNCharnze Nicoll-KlokstadTB2.5DWDallin Watene-ZelezniakTB2.5RTRoger Tuivasa-SheckTB2.5JFJackson FordTB2.5TSTanner Stowers-SmithTB1.5
DEDylan EdwardsTB4.5JEJaxen EdgarTB4.5BTBrian To'oTB4.5PAPaul AlamotiTB4.5TJThomas JenkinsTB3.5TM

Line shown = half-line nearest season avg. Bring the real one from your bookie.

TTTaine Tuaupiki4.5ALAli Leiataua3.5MMMarcelo Montoya3.5RPRiley Price3.5LHLeka Halasima2.5TMTe Maire Martin2.5AKAlofiana Khan-Pereira2.5CNCharnze Nicoll-Klokstad
Taylan May
TB
3.5
CMCasey McLeanTB2.5
NCNathan ClearyTB2.5
IPIsaiah Papali'iTB2.5
IYIsaah YeoTB2.5
LMLiam MartinTB1.5
LPLuron PateaTB1.5
2.5
DWDallin Watene-Zelezniak2.5
RTRoger Tuivasa-Sheck2.5
JFJackson Ford2.5
TSTanner Stowers-Smith1.5
DEDylan Edwards4.5
JEJaxen Edgar4.5
BTBrian To'o4.5
PAPaul Alamoti4.5
TJThomas Jenkins3.5
TMTaylan May3.5
CMCasey McLean2.5
NCNathan Cleary2.5
IPIsaiah Papali'i2.5
IYIsaah Yeo2.5
LMLiam Martin1.5
LPLuron Patea1.5
TriesTry AssistsTackle BreaksLine BreaksRun MetresTacklesOffloadsRunsPointsGoalsLine Break AssistsPost Contact MetresFantasy Points
Current to Round 22, today
MM
Marcelo Montoya
New Zealand Warriors · vs PEN
3.5 TBO —U —
Hit rate
50% (5/10)
enter odds to compare
Avg
3.3
L5
2.8
L10
3.3
High
7
← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering
Splits · o3.5
5SGIFeb 282CBRMar 19☂5NEWMar 284SOUApr 033PENApr 097PARApr 192BRIApr 240NQLMay 015MELMay 220WSTJul 18?PENAug 073.5
Line Over Under

Tap a bar for full game detail · newest on the right

Game conditionsGo Media Stadium · AucklandRound 23 · 2026-08-07 20:00☁ 10.2°C☂ 0mm (10%)🌬 11.1 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly
Marcelovs all playersStatPEN concedePer game
125.6
78
Run Metresunfavorable
25
1564.5
Marcelo 125.6/game
PEN concedes 1564.5/game · league avg 1691.0
#13 of 17 clubs most conceded
3.3
88
Tackle Breaksunfavorable
25
31.2
Marcelo 3.3/game
PEN concedes 31.2/game · league avg 32.7
#13 of 17 clubs most conceded
4.5
15
Tacklesneutral
100
369.8
Marcelo 4.5/game
PEN concedes 369.8/game · league avg 345.0
#1 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.1
39
Triesunfavorable
0
2.5
Marcelo 0.1/game
PEN concedes 2.5/game · league avg 4.1
#17 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.0
0
Try Assistsunfavorable
0
2.3
Marcelo 0.0/game
PEN concedes 2.3/game · league avg 3.5
#17 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.3
67
Line Breaksunfavorable
0
3.9
Marcelo 0.3/game
PEN concedes 3.9/game · league avg 5.1
#17 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.3
45
Offloadsunfavorable
6
8.3
Marcelo 0.3/game
PEN concedes 8.3/game · league avg 9.8
#16 of 17 clubs most conceded
37.9
71
Post Contact Metresneutral
50
545.3
Marcelo 37.9/game
PEN concedes 545.3/game · league avg 545.5
#9 of 17 clubs most conceded
Run Metresunfavorable
Marcelo125.6
78
PEN1564.5
25
Marcelo 125.6/game
PEN concedes 1564.5/game · league avg 1691.0
#13 of 17 clubs most conceded
Tackle Breaksunfavorable
Marcelo3.3

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

PEN concede · Tackle Breaks

31.2per game · league avg 32.7
#13 of 17 most conceded
Stingy against this stat — the over fights uphill.

Venue split · Tackle Breaks

At Go Media Stadium3.3(21)+0.4
Everywhere else3.0(89)
Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Tackle Breaks

Wet games (≥1mm)3.1(8)+0.1
Dry games3.0(102)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.

Similar players vs PEN · Tackle Breaks

Avg diff
+0.5
Avg diff %
+17%
Hit rate
5/8
beat their own average
DateTeamPlayerAvgResultDiff
08-01CBRJoseph Tapine2.13+46%
08-01CBRMatthew Timoko3.79+144%
08-01CBRXavier Savage2.42-17%
08-01CBREthan Strange4.17+72%
08-01CBRSavelio Tamale4.30-100%
07-23PARIsaiah Iongi4.35+18%
07-23PARKelma Tuilagi1.82+9%
07-23PARBrian Kelly3.42-40%
Similar = season average within ±1.5 of Marcelo's. Computed from this app's own records.
88
PEN31.2
25
Marcelo 3.3/game
PEN concedes 31.2/game · league avg 32.7
#13 of 17 clubs most conceded
Tacklesneutral
Marcelo4.5
15
PEN369.8
100
Marcelo 4.5/game
PEN concedes 369.8/game · league avg 345.0
#1 of 17 clubs most conceded
Triesunfavorable
Marcelo0.1
39
PEN2.5
0
Marcelo 0.1/game
PEN concedes 2.5/game · league avg 4.1
#17 of 17 clubs most conceded
Try Assistsunfavorable
Marcelo0.0
0
PEN2.3
0
Marcelo 0.0/game
PEN concedes 2.3/game · league avg 3.5
#17 of 17 clubs most conceded
Line Breaksunfavorable
Marcelo0.3
67
PEN3.9
0
Marcelo 0.3/game
PEN concedes 3.9/game · league avg 5.1
#17 of 17 clubs most conceded
Offloadsunfavorable
Marcelo0.3
45
PEN8.3
6
Marcelo 0.3/game
PEN concedes 8.3/game · league avg 9.8
#16 of 17 clubs most conceded
Post Contact Metresneutral
Marcelo37.9
71
PEN545.3
50
Marcelo 37.9/game
PEN concedes 545.3/game · league avg 545.5
#9 of 17 clubs most conceded