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© 2026 Project Punt · Every number is a real historical stat · Gamble responsibly · Credits
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See allaflThu 19:30WBD◄NOR◄Fri 19:40BRI◄HAW◄See allnrlThu 19:50GLD◄NQL◄Fri 20:00WAR◄PEN◄See allnblFinalSYD113◄ADL101◄See allhorsesR1 13:30Randwick8 racesSee alldogsR1 13:30Wentworth Park8 races
WARRound 23Fri 08-07 · 20:00PEN
JFJackson FordPCM66.5MBMitchell BarnettPCM54.5JFJames Fisher-HarrisPCM54.5RTRoger Tuivasa-SheckPCM52.5ECErin ClarkPCM49.5DWDallin Watene-ZelezniakPCM41.5TSTanner Stowers-SmithPCM40.5MMMarcelo MontoyaPCM37.5APAdam PompeyPCM36.5CNCharnze Nicoll-KlokstadPCM35.5KCKurt CapewellPCM35.5TTTaine TuaupikiPCM33.5
BTBrian To'oPCM66.5DEDylan EdwardsPCM56.5TJThomas JenkinsPCM52.5IPIsaiah Papali'iPCM48.5IYIsaah YeoPCM47.5

Line shown = half-line nearest season avg. Bring the real one from your bookie.

JFJackson Ford66.5MBMitchell Barnett54.5JFJames Fisher-Harris54.5RTRoger Tuivasa-Sheck52.5ECErin Clark49.5DWDallin Watene-Zelezniak41.5TSTanner Stowers-Smith40.5MM
CM
Casey McLean
PCM
44.5
PAPaul AlamotiPCM41.5
Liam HenryLiam HenryPCM39.5
MLMoses LeotaPCM37.5
TMTaylan MayPCM32.5
LMLiam MartinPCM30.5
LSLindsay SmithPCM30.5
Marcelo Montoya
37.5
APAdam Pompey36.5
CNCharnze Nicoll-Klokstad35.5
KCKurt Capewell35.5
TTTaine Tuaupiki33.5
BTBrian To'o66.5
DEDylan Edwards56.5
TJThomas Jenkins52.5
IPIsaiah Papali'i48.5
IYIsaah Yeo47.5
CMCasey McLean44.5
PAPaul Alamoti41.5
Liam HenryLiam Henry39.5
MLMoses Leota37.5
TMTaylan May32.5
LMLiam Martin30.5
LSLindsay Smith30.5
TriesTry AssistsTackle BreaksLine BreaksRun MetresTacklesOffloadsRunsPointsGoalsLine Break AssistsPost Contact MetresFantasy Points
Current to Round 22, today
MM
Marcelo Montoya
New Zealand Warriors · vs PEN
37.5 PCMO —U —
Hit rate
60% (6/10)
enter odds to compare
Avg
37.9
L5
25.6
L10
37.9
High
81
← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering
Splits · o37.5
81SGIFeb 2827CBRMar 19☂61NEWMar 2841SOUApr 0341PENApr 0940PARApr 1937BRIApr 240NQLMay 0151MELMay 220WSTJul 18?PENAug 0737.5
Line Over Under

Tap a bar for full game detail · newest on the right

Game conditionsGo Media Stadium · AucklandRound 23 · 2026-08-07 20:00☁ 10.2°C☂ 0mm (10%)🌬 11.1 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly
Marcelovs all playersStatPEN concedePer game
125.6
78
Run Metresunfavorable
25
1564.5
Marcelo 125.6/game
PEN concedes 1564.5/game · league avg 1691.0
#13 of 17 clubs most conceded
3.3
88
Tackle Breaksunfavorable
25
31.2
Marcelo 3.3/game
PEN concedes 31.2/game · league avg 32.7
#13 of 17 clubs most conceded
4.5
15
Tacklesneutral
100
369.8
Marcelo 4.5/game
PEN concedes 369.8/game · league avg 345.0
#1 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.1
39
Triesunfavorable
0
2.5
Marcelo 0.1/game
PEN concedes 2.5/game · league avg 4.1
#17 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.0
0
Try Assistsunfavorable
0
2.3
Marcelo 0.0/game
PEN concedes 2.3/game · league avg 3.5
#17 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.3
67
Line Breaksunfavorable
0
3.9
Marcelo 0.3/game
PEN concedes 3.9/game · league avg 5.1
#17 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.3
45
Offloadsunfavorable
6
8.3
Marcelo 0.3/game
PEN concedes 8.3/game · league avg 9.8
#16 of 17 clubs most conceded
37.9
71
Post Contact Metresneutral
50
545.3
Marcelo 37.9/game
PEN concedes 545.3/game · league avg 545.5
#9 of 17 clubs most conceded
Run Metresunfavorable
Marcelo125.6
78
PEN1564.5
25
Marcelo 125.6/game
PEN concedes 1564.5/game · league avg 1691.0
#13 of 17 clubs most conceded
Tackle Breaksunfavorable
Marcelo3.3

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

PEN concede · Post Contact Metres

545.3per game · league avg 545.5
#9 of 17 most conceded
Middle of the road matchup.

Venue split · Post Contact Metres

At Go Media Stadium38.7(21)-0.1
Everywhere else38.8(89)
Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Post Contact Metres

Wet games (≥1mm)31.9(8)-7.4
Dry games39.3(102)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.

Similar players vs PEN · Post Contact Metres

Avg diff
-3.9
Avg diff %
-10%
Hit rate
3/8
beat their own average
DateTeamPlayerAvgResultDiff
08-01CBRAta Mariota36.225-31%
08-01CBRSavelio Tamale41.20-100%
08-01CBRCorey Horsburgh41.272+75%
08-01CBRZac Hosking35.445+27%
08-01CBRKaeo Weekes39.229-26%
08-01CBRSebastian Kris40.443+7%
08-01CBRXavier Savage32.926-21%
07-23PARJack Williams40.636-11%
Similar = season average within ±5.7 of Marcelo's. Computed from this app's own records.
88
PEN31.2
25
Marcelo 3.3/game
PEN concedes 31.2/game · league avg 32.7
#13 of 17 clubs most conceded
Tacklesneutral
Marcelo4.5
15
PEN369.8
100
Marcelo 4.5/game
PEN concedes 369.8/game · league avg 345.0
#1 of 17 clubs most conceded
Triesunfavorable
Marcelo0.1
39
PEN2.5
0
Marcelo 0.1/game
PEN concedes 2.5/game · league avg 4.1
#17 of 17 clubs most conceded
Try Assistsunfavorable
Marcelo0.0
0
PEN2.3
0
Marcelo 0.0/game
PEN concedes 2.3/game · league avg 3.5
#17 of 17 clubs most conceded
Line Breaksunfavorable
Marcelo0.3
67
PEN3.9
0
Marcelo 0.3/game
PEN concedes 3.9/game · league avg 5.1
#17 of 17 clubs most conceded
Offloadsunfavorable
Marcelo0.3
45
PEN8.3
6
Marcelo 0.3/game
PEN concedes 8.3/game · league avg 9.8
#16 of 17 clubs most conceded
Post Contact Metresneutral
Marcelo37.9
71
PEN545.3
50
Marcelo 37.9/game
PEN concedes 545.3/game · league avg 545.5
#9 of 17 clubs most conceded