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© 2026 Project Punt · Every number is a real historical stat · Gamble responsibly · Credits
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See allaflThu 19:30WBD◄NOR◄Fri 19:40BRI◄HAW◄See allnrlThu 19:50GLD◄NQL◄Fri 20:00WAR◄PEN◄See allnblFinalSYD113◄ADL101◄See allhorsesR1 13:30Randwick8 racesSee alldogsR1 13:30Wentworth Park8 races
DOLRound 23Sat 08-08 · 17:30BRI
JIJamayne IsaakoPTS12.5SCSelwyn CobboPTS3.5JAJake AverilloPTS2.5HTHamiso Tabuai-FidowPTS2.5HFHerbie FarnworthPTS1.5JBJack BostockPTS1.5EAEuan AitkenPTS1.5TNTevita NaufahuPTS1.5CLConnelly LemueluPTS0.5KNKodi NikorimaPTS0.5JMJeremy Marshall-KingPTS0.5IKIsaiya KatoaPTS0.5
ARAdam ReynoldsPTS5.5JMJock MaddenPTS4.5RWReece WalshPTS2.5KSKotoni StaggsPTS2.5JAJesse ArtharsPTS1.5JK

Line shown = half-line nearest season avg. Bring the real one from your bookie.

JIJamayne Isaako12.5SCSelwyn Cobbo3.5JAJake Averillo2.5HTHamiso Tabuai-Fidow2.5HFHerbie Farnworth1.5JBJack Bostock1.5EAEuan Aitken1.5TNTevita Naufahu1.5
Josiah Karapani
PTS
1.5
XWXavier WillisonPTS1.5
AVAntonio VerhoevenPTS1.5
JRJordan RikiPTS0.5
EMEzra MamPTS0.5
DMDeine MarinerPTS0.5
GSGehamat ShibasakiPTS0.5
CLConnelly Lemuelu0.5
KNKodi Nikorima0.5
JMJeremy Marshall-King0.5
IKIsaiya Katoa0.5
ARAdam Reynolds5.5
JMJock Madden4.5
RWReece Walsh2.5
KSKotoni Staggs2.5
JAJesse Arthars1.5
JKJosiah Karapani1.5
XWXavier Willison1.5
AVAntonio Verhoeven1.5
JRJordan Riki0.5
EMEzra Mam0.5
DMDeine Mariner0.5
GSGehamat Shibasaki0.5
TriesTry AssistsTackle BreaksLine BreaksRun MetresTacklesOffloadsRunsPointsGoalsLine Break AssistsPost Contact MetresFantasy Points
Current to Round 22, today
CL
Connelly Lemuelu
Dolphins · vs BRI
0.5 PTSO —U —
Hit rate
21% (4/19)
enter odds to compare
Avg
0.8
L5
0.8
L10
1.2
High
4
← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering
Splits · o0.5
0SOUMar 08☂0GLDMar 154CROMar 210BRIMar 270MANApr 020PENApr 17☂0WARApr 250MELMay 010CBYMay 070SOUMay 150CBRMay 210NQLJun 064SYDJun 124WSTJun 200WARJun 270NEWJul 05☂0CROJul 114NQLJul 190SGIJul 31?BRIAug 080.5
Line Over Under

Tap a bar for full game detail · newest on the right

Game conditionsSuncorp Stadium · BrisbaneRound 23 · 2026-08-08 17:30☁ 17.2°C☂ 0mm (20%)🌬 4.4 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly
Connellyvs all playersStatBRI concedePer game
107.3
66
Run Metresneutral
88
1843.1
Connelly 107.3/game
BRI concedes 1843.1/game · league avg 1691.0
#3 of 17 clubs most conceded
2.1
68
Tackle Breaksneutral
38
31.9
Connelly 2.1/game
BRI concedes 31.9/game · league avg 32.7
#11 of 17 clubs most conceded
34.5
91
Tacklesunfavorable
6
322.7
Connelly 34.5/game
BRI concedes 322.7/game · league avg 345.0
#16 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.2
63
Triesneutral
56
4.4
Connelly 0.2/game
BRI concedes 4.4/game · league avg 4.1
#8 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.2
65
Try Assistsunfavorable
31
3.3
Connelly 0.2/game
BRI concedes 3.3/game · league avg 3.5
#12 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.4
74
Line Breaksneutral
56
5.0
Connelly 0.4/game
BRI concedes 5.0/game · league avg 5.1
#8 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.7
77
Offloadsfavorable
63
10.2
Connelly 0.7/game
BRI concedes 10.2/game · league avg 9.8
#7 of 17 clubs most conceded
41.7
79
Post Contact Metresfavorable
81
597.6
Connelly 41.7/game
BRI concedes 597.6/game · league avg 545.5
#4 of 17 clubs most conceded
Run Metresneutral
Connelly107.3
66
BRI1843.1
88
Connelly 107.3/game
BRI concedes 1843.1/game · league avg 1691.0
#3 of 17 clubs most conceded
Tackle Breaksneutral
Connelly2.1

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

BRI concede · Points

26.4per game · league avg 23.7
#5 of 17 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Points

At Suncorp Stadium1.0(36)+0.1
Everywhere else0.9(67)
Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Points

Wet games (≥1mm)0.5(8)-0.5
Dry games1.0(95)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.

Similar players vs BRI · Points

Avg diff
+0.8
Avg diff %
+46%
Hit rate
2/8
beat their own average
DateTeamPlayerAvgResultDiff
08-01NEWCody Hopwood0.000%
08-01NEWJermaine McEwen0.30-100%
08-01NEWBradman Best1.30-100%
08-01NEWFletcher Sharpe2.08+300%
08-01NEWPhoenix Crossland0.64+567%
08-01NEWTrey Mooney1.10-100%
08-01NEWDane Gagai0.40-100%
08-01NEWFrancis Manuleleua0.30-100%
Similar = season average within ±1.5 of Connelly's. Computed from this app's own records.
68
BRI31.9
38
Connelly 2.1/game
BRI concedes 31.9/game · league avg 32.7
#11 of 17 clubs most conceded
Tacklesunfavorable
Connelly34.5
91
BRI322.7
6
Connelly 34.5/game
BRI concedes 322.7/game · league avg 345.0
#16 of 17 clubs most conceded
Triesneutral
Connelly0.2
63
BRI4.4
56
Connelly 0.2/game
BRI concedes 4.4/game · league avg 4.1
#8 of 17 clubs most conceded
Try Assistsunfavorable
Connelly0.2
65
BRI3.3
31
Connelly 0.2/game
BRI concedes 3.3/game · league avg 3.5
#12 of 17 clubs most conceded
Line Breaksneutral
Connelly0.4
74
BRI5.0
56
Connelly 0.4/game
BRI concedes 5.0/game · league avg 5.1
#8 of 17 clubs most conceded
Offloadsfavorable
Connelly0.7
77
BRI10.2
63
Connelly 0.7/game
BRI concedes 10.2/game · league avg 9.8
#7 of 17 clubs most conceded
Post Contact Metresfavorable
Connelly41.7
79
BRI597.6
81
Connelly 41.7/game
BRI concedes 597.6/game · league avg 545.5
#4 of 17 clubs most conceded