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© 2026 Project Punt · Every number is a real historical stat · Gamble responsibly · Credits
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See allaflThu 19:30WBD◄NOR◄Fri 19:40BRI◄HAW◄See allnrlThu 19:50GLD◄NQL◄Fri 20:00WAR◄PEN◄See allnblFinalSYD113◄ADL101◄See allhorsesR1 13:30Randwick8 racesSee alldogsR1 13:30Wentworth Park8 races
DOLRound 23Sat 08-08 · 17:30BRI
KNKodi NikorimaLBA1.5IKIsaiya KatoaLBA0.5HTHamiso Tabuai-FidowLBA0.5JBJack BostockLBA0.5HFHerbie FarnworthLBA0.5BSBradley SchneiderLBA0.5JAJake AverilloLBA0.5KDKurt DonoghoeLBA0.5TFTrai FullerLBA0.5BPBrian PouniuLBA0.5JMJeremy Marshall-KingLBA0.5CLConnelly LemueluLBA0.5
RWReece WalshLBA1.5EMEzra MamLBA0.5GAGrant AndersonLBA0.5KSKotoni StaggsLBA0.5BHBen HuntLBA0.5JM

Line shown = half-line nearest season avg. Bring the real one from your bookie.

KNKodi Nikorima1.5IKIsaiya Katoa0.5HTHamiso Tabuai-Fidow0.5JBJack Bostock0.5HFHerbie Farnworth0.5BSBradley Schneider0.5JAJake Averillo0.5KDKurt Donoghoe
Jock Madden
LBA
0.5
BPBrendan PiakuraLBA0.5
ARAdam ReynoldsLBA0.5
HPHayze PerhamLBA0.5
PCPatrick CarriganLBA0.5
JRJordan RikiLBA0.5
JGJack GosiewskiLBA0.5
0.5
TFTrai Fuller0.5
BPBrian Pouniu0.5
JMJeremy Marshall-King0.5
CLConnelly Lemuelu0.5
RWReece Walsh1.5
EMEzra Mam0.5
GAGrant Anderson0.5
KSKotoni Staggs0.5
BHBen Hunt0.5
JMJock Madden0.5
BPBrendan Piakura0.5
ARAdam Reynolds0.5
HPHayze Perham0.5
PCPatrick Carrigan0.5
JRJordan Riki0.5
JGJack Gosiewski0.5
TriesTry AssistsTackle BreaksLine BreaksRun MetresTacklesOffloadsRunsPointsGoalsLine Break AssistsPost Contact MetresFantasy Points
Current to Round 22, yesterday
CL
Connelly Lemuelu
Dolphins · vs BRI
0.5 LBAO —U —
Hit rate
16% (3/19)
enter odds to compare
Avg
0.2
L5
0.4
L10
0.2
High
1
← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering
Splits · o0.5
1SOUMar 08☂0GLDMar 150CROMar 210BRIMar 270MANApr 020PENApr 17☂0WARApr 250MELMay 010CBYMay 070SOUMay 150CBRMay 210NQLJun 060SYDJun 120WSTJun 201WARJun 270NEWJul 05☂0CROJul 110NQLJul 191SGIJul 31?BRIAug 080.5
Line Over Under

Tap a bar for full game detail · newest on the right

Game conditionsSuncorp Stadium · BrisbaneRound 23 · 2026-08-08 17:30☁ 17°C☂ 0mm (18%)🌬 5.1 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly
Connellyvs all playersStatBRI concedePer game
107.3
66
Run Metresneutral
88
1843.1
Connelly 107.3/game
BRI concedes 1843.1/game · league avg 1691.0
#3 of 17 clubs most conceded
2.1
68
Tackle Breaksneutral
38
31.9
Connelly 2.1/game
BRI concedes 31.9/game · league avg 32.7
#11 of 17 clubs most conceded
34.5
91
Tacklesunfavorable
6
322.7
Connelly 34.5/game
BRI concedes 322.7/game · league avg 345.0
#16 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.2
63
Triesneutral
56
4.4
Connelly 0.2/game
BRI concedes 4.4/game · league avg 4.1
#8 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.2
65
Try Assistsunfavorable
31
3.3
Connelly 0.2/game
BRI concedes 3.3/game · league avg 3.5
#12 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.4
74
Line Breaksneutral
56
5.0
Connelly 0.4/game
BRI concedes 5.0/game · league avg 5.1
#8 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.7
77
Offloadsfavorable
63
10.2
Connelly 0.7/game
BRI concedes 10.2/game · league avg 9.8
#7 of 17 clubs most conceded
41.7
79
Post Contact Metresfavorable
81
597.6
Connelly 41.7/game
BRI concedes 597.6/game · league avg 545.5
#4 of 17 clubs most conceded
Run Metresneutral
Connelly107.3
66
BRI1843.1
88
Connelly 107.3/game
BRI concedes 1843.1/game · league avg 1691.0
#3 of 17 clubs most conceded
Tackle Breaksneutral
Connelly2.1

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

BRI concede · Line Break Assists

3.7per game · league avg 3.9
#8 of 17 most conceded
Middle of the road matchup.

Venue split · Line Break Assists

At Suncorp Stadium0.1(36)
Everywhere else0.1(67)
Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Line Break Assists

Wet games (≥1mm)0.3(8)+0.2
Dry games0.1(95)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.

Similar players vs BRI · Line Break Assists

Avg diff
+0.2
Avg diff %
+7%
Hit rate
3/8
beat their own average
DateTeamPlayerAvgResultDiff
08-01NEWBradman Best1.010%
08-01NEWSandon Smith0.70-100%
08-01NEWDominic Young0.10-100%
08-01NEWDane Gagai0.62+245%
08-01NEWGreg Marzhew0.20-100%
08-01NEWFletcher Sharpe0.61+64%
08-01NEWKalyn Ponga1.42+47%
08-01NEWCody Hopwood0.000%
Similar = season average within ±1.5 of Connelly's. Computed from this app's own records.
68
BRI31.9
38
Connelly 2.1/game
BRI concedes 31.9/game · league avg 32.7
#11 of 17 clubs most conceded
Tacklesunfavorable
Connelly34.5
91
BRI322.7
6
Connelly 34.5/game
BRI concedes 322.7/game · league avg 345.0
#16 of 17 clubs most conceded
Triesneutral
Connelly0.2
63
BRI4.4
56
Connelly 0.2/game
BRI concedes 4.4/game · league avg 4.1
#8 of 17 clubs most conceded
Try Assistsunfavorable
Connelly0.2
65
BRI3.3
31
Connelly 0.2/game
BRI concedes 3.3/game · league avg 3.5
#12 of 17 clubs most conceded
Line Breaksneutral
Connelly0.4
74
BRI5.0
56
Connelly 0.4/game
BRI concedes 5.0/game · league avg 5.1
#8 of 17 clubs most conceded
Offloadsfavorable
Connelly0.7
77
BRI10.2
63
Connelly 0.7/game
BRI concedes 10.2/game · league avg 9.8
#7 of 17 clubs most conceded
Post Contact Metresfavorable
Connelly41.7
79
BRI597.6
81
Connelly 41.7/game
BRI concedes 597.6/game · league avg 545.5
#4 of 17 clubs most conceded