Project Punt — AFL & NRL props, checked

Current to Round 20, yesterday

Noah Answerth

Brisbane Lions · @ CAR

0.5 FFO —U —

Hit rate

40% (4/10)

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Avg

0.5

0.6

L10

0.5

High

← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering

Line Over Under

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for Round 21 @ CAR

Game conditionsDocklands · MelbourneRound 21 · 2026-08-01 19:40Roof — weather neutral

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly

Noahvs all playersStatCAR concedePer game

12.1Disposals363.6

9.2Kicks210.2

5.0Marks89.8

1.7Tackles59.8

0.3Clearances35.7

1.6Inside 50s52.9

3.1Contested Poss.127.7

0.0Goals12.8

Disposals

Noah12.1

CAR363.6

Kicks

Noah9.2

CAR210.2

Marks

Noah5.0

CAR89.8

Tackles

Noah1.7

CAR59.8

Clearances

Noah0.3

CAR35.7

Inside 50s

Noah1.6

CAR52.9

Contested Poss.

Noah3.1

CAR127.7

Goals

Noah0.0

CAR12.8

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

CAR concede · Frees For

20.1per game · league avg 19.0

#6 of 18 most conceded

They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Frees For

At Docklands0.6(11)+0.1

Everywhere else0.6(87)

Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Frees For

Wet games (≥1mm)1.8(5)+1.3

Dry games0.5(93)

Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.