AFL
PProjectPunt
Luke McDonald
Luke McDonald
North Melbourne · vs STK
1.5 TKO U
Hit rate
53% (9/17)
enter odds to compare
Avg
1.9
L5
1.8
L10
1.5
High
4
← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering
1PORMar 153WCEMar 222ESSMar 283CARApr 033BRIApr 112RICApr 193GWSApr 260GEEMay 021SYDMay 091ADEMay 163GCSMay 231FREJun 063WCEJun 131RICJun 214PORJul 051COLJul 100MELJul 18?STKJul 261.5
Line Over Under

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for Round 20 vs STK
Game conditionsDocklands · MelbourneRound 20 · 2026-07-26 15:15Roof — weather neutral

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly
Disposals
Luke15.5
STK379.3
Kicks
Luke10.1
STK220.4
Marks
Luke5.5
STK100.9
Tackles
Luke1.9
STK50.0
Clearances
Luke0.2
STK34.4
Inside 50s
Luke1.2
STK52.1
Contested poss.
Luke3.2
STK123.7
Goals
Luke0.1
STK12.4

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

STK concede · Tackles

50.0per game · league avg 56.9
#17 of 18 most conceded
Stingy against this stat — the over fights uphill.

Venue split · Tackles

At Docklands1.8(25)-0.5
Everywhere else2.3(29)
Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Tackles

Wet games (≥1mm)1.0(2)-1.1
Dry games2.1(52)
Only 2 wet games on record — thin evidence.