AFL
PProjectPunt
Luke McDonald
Luke McDonald
North Melbourne · vs STK
5.5 MKO U
Hit rate
53% (9/17)
enter odds to compare
Avg
5.5
L5
5.0
L10
4.9
High
9
← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering
9PORMar 153WCEMar 228ESSMar 287CARApr 035BRIApr 119RICApr 194GWSApr 263GEEMay 026SYDMay 096ADEMay 162GCSMay 237FREJun 064WCEJun 136RICJun 213PORJul 058COLJul 104MELJul 18?STKJul 265.5
Line Over Under

Tap a bar for full game detail · newest on the right

for Round 20 vs STK
Game conditionsDocklands · MelbourneRound 20 · 2026-07-26 15:15Roof — weather neutral

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly
Disposals
Luke15.5
STK379.3
Kicks
Luke10.1
STK220.4
Marks
Luke5.5
STK100.9
Tackles
Luke1.9
STK50.0
Clearances
Luke0.2
STK34.4
Inside 50s
Luke1.2
STK52.1
Contested poss.
Luke3.2
STK123.7
Goals
Luke0.1
STK12.4

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

STK concede · Marks

100.9per game · league avg 93.0
#6 of 18 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Marks

At Docklands5.3(25)+0.7
Everywhere else4.6(29)
Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Marks

Wet games (≥1mm)4.5(2)-0.4
Dry games4.9(52)
Only 2 wet games on record — thin evidence.