Project Punt — AFL & NRL props, checked

Current to Round 20, yesterday

Luke McDonald

North Melbourne · @ HAW

0.5 FFO —U —

Hit rate

47% (8/17)

enter odds to compare

Avg

0.7

1.0

L10

0.7

High

← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering

Line Over Under

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for Round 21 @ HAW

Game conditionsYork Park · LauncestonRound 21 · 2026-08-01 13:35☁ 12.9°C☂ 0mm (2%)🌬 14.5 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly

Lukevs all playersStatHAW concedePer game

15.5Disposals355.0

10.1Kicks205.1

5.5Marks81.7

1.9Tackles60.8

0.2Clearances34.2

1.2Inside 50s51.3

3.2Contested Poss.127.8

0.1Goals12.3

Disposals

Luke15.5

HAW355.0

Kicks

Luke10.1

HAW205.1

Marks

Luke5.5

HAW81.7

Tackles

Luke1.9

HAW60.8

Clearances

Luke0.2

HAW34.2

Inside 50s

Luke1.2

HAW51.3

Contested Poss.

Luke3.2

HAW127.8

Goals

Luke0.1

HAW12.3

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

HAW concede · Frees For

18.7per game · league avg 19.0

#12 of 18 most conceded

Middle of the road matchup.

Venue split · Frees For

At York Park0.0(3)-0.6

Everywhere else0.6(136)

Only 3 games at this ground — thin evidence.

Wet vs dry · Frees For

Wet games (≥1mm)0.1(7)-0.5

Dry games0.6(132)

Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.