Project Punt — AFL & NRL props, checked

Current to Round 20, 2 days ago

Nick Larkey

North Melbourne · @ HAW

10.5 DIO —U —

Hit rate

39% (7/18)

enter odds to compare

Avg

10.1

11.4

L10

9.9

High

← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering

Line Over Under

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for Round 21 @ HAW

Game conditionsYork Park · LauncestonRound 21 · 2026-08-01 13:35☁ 12.9°C☂ 0mm (2%)🌬 14.5 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly

Nickvs all playersStatHAW concedePer game

10.1Disposals355.0

6.6Kicks205.1

4.8Marks81.7

1.1Tackles60.8

0.0Clearances34.2

1.2Inside 50s51.3

4.4Contested Poss.127.8

2.0Goals12.3

Disposals

Nick10.1

HAW355.0

Kicks

Nick6.6

HAW205.1

Marks

Nick4.8

HAW81.7

Tackles

Nick1.1

HAW60.8

Clearances

Nick0.0

HAW34.2

Inside 50s

Nick1.2

HAW51.3

Contested Poss.

Nick4.4

HAW127.8

Goals

Nick2.0

HAW12.3

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

HAW concede · Disposals

355.0per game · league avg 369.3

#16 of 18 most conceded

Stingy against this stat — the over fights uphill.

Venue split · Disposals

At York Park9.3(4)-0.1

Everywhere else9.4(146)

Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Disposals

Wet games (≥1mm)6.9(8)-2.6

Dry games9.5(142)

Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.