Project Punt — AFL & NRL props, checked

Current to Round 20, yesterday

Josh Goater

North Melbourne · @ HAW

14.5 DIO —U —

Hit rate

67% (2/3)

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Avg

14.3

L10

14.3

High

Only 3 games in this filter — thin evidence, treat with care.

← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering

Line Over Under

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for Round 21 @ HAW

Game conditionsYork Park · LauncestonRound 21 · 2026-08-01 13:35☁ 12.9°C☂ 0mm (10%)🌬 14.5 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly

Joshvs all playersStatHAW concedePer game

14.3Disposals355.0

7.3Kicks205.1

5.3Marks81.7

1.0Tackles60.8

0.3Clearances34.2

1.3Inside 50s51.3

4.0Contested Poss.127.8

0.0Goals12.3

Disposals

Josh14.3

HAW355.0

Kicks

Josh7.3

HAW205.1

Marks

Josh5.3

HAW81.7

Tackles

Josh1.0

HAW60.8

Clearances

Josh0.3

HAW34.2

Inside 50s

Josh1.3

HAW51.3

Contested Poss.

Josh4.0

HAW127.8

Goals

Josh0.0

HAW12.3

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

HAW concede · Disposals

355.0per game · league avg 369.3

#16 of 18 most conceded

Stingy against this stat — the over fights uphill.

Venue split · Disposals

At York Park9.0(1)-5.6

Everywhere else14.6(14)

Only 1 game at this ground — thin evidence.

Wet vs dry · Disposals

Wet games (≥1mm)13.0(2)-1.5

Dry games14.5(13)

Only 2 wet games on record — thin evidence.