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Game conditionsGo Media Stadium · AucklandRound 23 · 2026-08-07 20:00☁ 10.2°C☂ 0mm (10%)🌬 11.1 km/hClear
Matchup Analyser
Percentile rankings · 2026
higher = more over-friendly
Lukevs all playersStatWAR concedePer game
72.5
44
Run Metresunfavorable
13
1549.2
Luke 72.5/game
WAR concedes 1549.2/game · league avg 1691.0
#15 of 17 clubs most conceded
1.6
55
Tackle Breaksneutral
75
34.3
Luke 1.6/game
WAR concedes 34.3/game · league avg 32.7
#5 of 17 clubs most conceded
21.3
64
Tacklesneutral
94
363.1
Luke 21.3/game
WAR concedes 363.1/game · league avg 345.0
#2 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.2
61
Triesunfavorable
6
2.9
Luke 0.2/game
WAR concedes 2.9/game · league avg 4.1
#16 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.1
48
Try Assistsunfavorable
6
2.5
Luke 0.1/game
WAR concedes 2.5/game · league avg 3.5
#16 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.3
62
Line Breaksneutral
38
4.6
Luke 0.3/game
WAR concedes 4.6/game · league avg 5.1
#10 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.2
35
Offloadsneutral
75
10.4
Luke 0.2/game
WAR concedes 10.4/game · league avg 9.8
#5 of 17 clubs most conceded
27.7
52
Post Contact Metresunfavorable
13
496.6
Luke 27.7/game
WAR concedes 496.6/game · league avg 545.5
#15 of 17 clubs most conceded
Run Metresunfavorable
Luke72.5
44
WAR1549.2
13
Luke 72.5/game
WAR concedes 1549.2/game · league avg 1691.0
#15 of 17 clubs most conceded
Tackle Breaksneutral
Luke1.6
Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.
WAR concede · Tackles
363.1per game · league avg 345.0
#2 of 17 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.
Venue split · Tackles
At Go Media Stadium27.3(3)+6.0
Everywhere else21.3(110)
Only 3 games at this ground — thin evidence.
Wet vs dry · Tackles
Wet games (≥1mm)14.3(3)-7.3
Dry games21.7(110)
Only 3 wet games on record — thin evidence.
Similar players vs WAR · Tackles
Avg diff
-4.6
Avg diff %
-22%
Hit rate
3/8
beat their own average
DateTeamPlayerAvgResultDiff
08-01GLDKurtis Morrin22.614-38%
08-01GLDKlese Haas23.428+20%
08-01GLDCooper Bai19.014-26%
08-01GLDSam Verrills19.60-100%
07-25CBYJosh Curran20.719-8%
07-25CBYLachlan Galvin23.513-45%
07-25CBYViliame Kikau22.524+7%
07-18SGIKyle Flanagan18.421+14%
Similar = season average within ±3.2 of Luke's. Computed from this app's own records.
