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© 2026 Project Punt · Every number is a real historical stat · Gamble responsibly · Credits
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See allaflThu 19:30WBD◄NOR◄Fri 19:40BRI◄HAW◄See allnrlThu 19:50GLD◄NQL◄Fri 20:00WAR◄PEN◄See allnblFinalSYD113◄ADL101◄See allhorsesR1 13:30Randwick8 racesSee alldogsR1 13:30Wentworth Park8 races
WARRound 23Fri 08-07 · 20:00PEN
DEDylan EdwardsRUN23.5BTBrian To'oRUN19.5TJThomas JenkinsRUN18.5IPIsaiah Papali'iRUN15.5CMCasey McLeanRUN14.5PAPaul AlamotiRUN14.5JEJaxen EdgarRUN14.5IYIsaah YeoRUN13.5NCNathan ClearyRUN13.5Liam HenryLiam HenryRUN13.5LSLindsay SmithRUN11.5TMTaylan MayRUN11.5
JFJackson FordRUN17.5TTTaine TuaupikiRUN16.5JFJames Fisher-HarrisRUN16.5MBMitchell BarnettRUN16.5DWDallin Watene-ZelezniakRUN15.5RT

Line shown = half-line nearest season avg. Bring the real one from your bookie.

DEDylan Edwards23.5BTBrian To'o19.5TJThomas Jenkins18.5IPIsaiah Papali'i15.5CMCasey McLean14.5PAPaul Alamoti14.5JEJaxen Edgar14.5IYIsaah Yeo13.5
Roger Tuivasa-Sheck
RUN
15.5
MMMarcelo MontoyaRUN14.5
ECErin ClarkRUN14.5
CNCharnze Nicoll-KlokstadRUN13.5
APAdam PompeyRUN12.5
AKAlofiana Khan-PereiraRUN11.5
TSTanner Stowers-SmithRUN11.5
NCNathan Cleary13.5
Liam HenryLiam Henry13.5
LSLindsay Smith11.5
TMTaylan May11.5
JFJackson Ford17.5
TTTaine Tuaupiki16.5
JFJames Fisher-Harris16.5
MBMitchell Barnett16.5
DWDallin Watene-Zelezniak15.5
RTRoger Tuivasa-Sheck15.5
MMMarcelo Montoya14.5
ECErin Clark14.5
CNCharnze Nicoll-Klokstad13.5
APAdam Pompey12.5
AKAlofiana Khan-Pereira11.5
TSTanner Stowers-Smith11.5
TriesTry AssistsTackle BreaksLine BreaksRun MetresTacklesOffloadsRunsPointsGoalsLine Break AssistsPost Contact MetresFantasy Points
Current to Round 22, today
ML
Moses Leota
Penrith Panthers · @ WAR
11.5 RUNO —U —
Hit rate
47% (9/19)
enter odds to compare
Avg
11.2
L5
10.0
L10
10.8
High
17
← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering
Splits · o11.5
12BRIMar 069CROMar 1411SYDMar 209PARMar 2812MELApr 0314CBYApr 0912DOLApr 17☂17NEWApr 268MANMay 0311CBRMay 1013SGIMay 1710WARMay 3113WSTJun 0711GLDJun 207NQLJun 2715SOUJul 0310BRIJul 16☂6PARJul 2312CBRAug 01?WARAug 0711.5
Line Over Under

Tap a bar for full game detail · newest on the right

Game conditionsGo Media Stadium · AucklandRound 23 · 2026-08-07 20:00☁ 10.2°C☂ 0mm (10%)🌬 11.1 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly
Mosesvs all playersStatWAR concedePer game
104.4
64
Run Metresunfavorable
13
1549.2
Moses 104.4/game
WAR concedes 1549.2/game · league avg 1691.0
#15 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.8
31
Tackle Breaksneutral
75
34.3
Moses 0.8/game
WAR concedes 34.3/game · league avg 32.7
#5 of 17 clubs most conceded
24.1
72
Tacklesfavorable
94
363.1
Moses 24.1/game
WAR concedes 363.1/game · league avg 345.0
#2 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.0
0
Triesunfavorable
6
2.9
Moses 0.0/game
WAR concedes 2.9/game · league avg 4.1
#16 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.1
56
Try Assistsunfavorable
6
2.5
Moses 0.1/game
WAR concedes 2.5/game · league avg 3.5
#16 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.1
25
Line Breaksunfavorable
38
4.6
Moses 0.1/game
WAR concedes 4.6/game · league avg 5.1
#10 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.7
73
Offloadsfavorable
75
10.4
Moses 0.7/game
WAR concedes 10.4/game · league avg 9.8
#5 of 17 clubs most conceded
37.7
71
Post Contact Metresunfavorable
13
496.6
Moses 37.7/game
WAR concedes 496.6/game · league avg 545.5
#15 of 17 clubs most conceded
Run Metresunfavorable
Moses104.4
64
WAR1549.2
13
Moses 104.4/game
WAR concedes 1549.2/game · league avg 1691.0
#15 of 17 clubs most conceded
Tackle Breaksneutral
Moses0.8

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

WAR concede · Runs

176.2per game · league avg 186.3
#17 of 17 most conceded
Stingy against this stat — the over fights uphill.

Venue split · Runs

At Go Media Stadium13.5(2)+2.3
Everywhere else11.2(137)
Only 2 games at this ground — thin evidence.

Wet vs dry · Runs

Wet games (≥1mm)10.7(10)-0.5
Dry games11.2(129)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.

Similar players vs WAR · Runs

Avg diff
+0.3
Avg diff %
+2%
Hit rate
4/8
beat their own average
DateTeamPlayerAvgResultDiff
08-01GLDJojo Fifita11.27-37%
08-01GLDMoeaki Fotuaika10.79-16%
07-25CBYJacob Preston10.312+16%
07-25CBYJethro Rinakama12.518+44%
07-25CBYMatt Burton12.612-5%
07-25CBYViliame Kikau10.611+4%
07-25CBYStephen Crichton9.79-7%
07-25CBYJaeman Salmon10.212+18%
Similar = season average within ±1.7 of Moses's. Computed from this app's own records.
31
WAR34.3
75
Moses 0.8/game
WAR concedes 34.3/game · league avg 32.7
#5 of 17 clubs most conceded
Tacklesfavorable
Moses24.1
72
WAR363.1
94
Moses 24.1/game
WAR concedes 363.1/game · league avg 345.0
#2 of 17 clubs most conceded
Triesunfavorable
Moses0.0
0
WAR2.9
6
Moses 0.0/game
WAR concedes 2.9/game · league avg 4.1
#16 of 17 clubs most conceded
Try Assistsunfavorable
Moses0.1
56
WAR2.5
6
Moses 0.1/game
WAR concedes 2.5/game · league avg 3.5
#16 of 17 clubs most conceded
Line Breaksunfavorable
Moses0.1
25
WAR4.6
38
Moses 0.1/game
WAR concedes 4.6/game · league avg 5.1
#10 of 17 clubs most conceded
Offloadsfavorable
Moses0.7
73
WAR10.4
75
Moses 0.7/game
WAR concedes 10.4/game · league avg 9.8
#5 of 17 clubs most conceded
Post Contact Metresunfavorable
Moses37.7
71
WAR496.6
13
Moses 37.7/game
WAR concedes 496.6/game · league avg 545.5
#15 of 17 clubs most conceded