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© 2026 Project Punt · Every number is a real historical stat · Gamble responsibly · Credits
WARRound 23Fri 08-07 · 20:00PEN
DEDylan EdwardsRM217.5BTBrian To'oRM192.5TJThomas JenkinsRM190.5CMCasey McLeanRM140.5PAPaul AlamotiRM139.5IPIsaiah Papali'iRM125.5IYIsaah YeoRM124.5Liam HenryLiam HenryRM123.5JEJaxen EdgarRM119.5TMTaylan MayRM115.5MLMoses LeotaRM104.5NCNathan ClearyRM103.5
JFJackson FordRM160.5TTTaine TuaupikiRM154.5RTRoger Tuivasa-SheckRM152.5DWDallin Watene-ZelezniakRM152.5MBMitchell BarnettRM147.5

Line shown = half-line nearest season avg. Bring the real one from your bookie.

DEDylan Edwards217.5BTBrian To'o192.5TJThomas Jenkins190.5CMCasey McLean140.5PAPaul Alamoti139.5IPIsaiah Papali'i125.5IYIsaah Yeo124.5Liam Henry
JF
James Fisher-Harris
RM
142.5
ECErin ClarkRM134.5
MMMarcelo MontoyaRM125.5
CNCharnze Nicoll-KlokstadRM123.5
AKAlofiana Khan-PereiraRM112.5
TSTanner Stowers-SmithRM108.5
APAdam PompeyRM102.5
Liam Henry
123.5
JEJaxen Edgar119.5
TMTaylan May115.5
MLMoses Leota104.5
NCNathan Cleary103.5
JFJackson Ford160.5
TTTaine Tuaupiki154.5
RTRoger Tuivasa-Sheck152.5
DWDallin Watene-Zelezniak152.5
MBMitchell Barnett147.5
JFJames Fisher-Harris142.5
ECErin Clark134.5
MMMarcelo Montoya125.5
CNCharnze Nicoll-Klokstad123.5
AKAlofiana Khan-Pereira112.5
TSTanner Stowers-Smith108.5
APAdam Pompey102.5
TriesTry AssistsTackle BreaksLine BreaksRun MetresTacklesOffloadsRunsPointsGoalsLine Break AssistsPost Contact MetresFantasy Points
Current to Round 22, today
ML
Moses Leota
Penrith Panthers · @ WAR
104.5 RMO —U —
Hit rate
42% (8/19)
enter odds to compare
Avg
104.4
L5
95.2
L10
106.9
High
166
← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering
Splits · o104.5
110BRIMar 0659CROMar 1488SYDMar 2096PARMar 2899MELApr 03139CBYApr 0989DOLApr 17☂166NEWApr 2669MANMay 03103CBRMay 10149SGIMay 1791WARMay 31119WSTJun 07131GLDJun 2074NQLJun 27138SOUJul 0384BRIJul 16☂45PARJul 23135CBRAug 01?WARAug 07104.5
Line Over Under

Tap a bar for full game detail · newest on the right

Game conditionsGo Media Stadium · AucklandRound 23 · 2026-08-07 20:00☁ 10.2°C☂ 0mm (10%)🌬 11.1 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly
Mosesvs all playersStatWAR concedePer game
104.4
64
Run Metresunfavorable
13
1549.2
Moses 104.4/game
WAR concedes 1549.2/game · league avg 1691.0
#15 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.8
31
Tackle Breaksneutral
75
34.3
Moses 0.8/game
WAR concedes 34.3/game · league avg 32.7
#5 of 17 clubs most conceded
24.1
72
Tacklesfavorable
94
363.1
Moses 24.1/game
WAR concedes 363.1/game · league avg 345.0
#2 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.0
0
Triesunfavorable
6
2.9
Moses 0.0/game
WAR concedes 2.9/game · league avg 4.1
#16 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.1
56
Try Assistsunfavorable
6
2.5
Moses 0.1/game
WAR concedes 2.5/game · league avg 3.5
#16 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.1
25
Line Breaksunfavorable
38
4.6
Moses 0.1/game
WAR concedes 4.6/game · league avg 5.1
#10 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.7
73
Offloadsfavorable
75
10.4
Moses 0.7/game
WAR concedes 10.4/game · league avg 9.8
#5 of 17 clubs most conceded
37.7
71
Post Contact Metresunfavorable
13
496.6
Moses 37.7/game
WAR concedes 496.6/game · league avg 545.5
#15 of 17 clubs most conceded
Run Metresunfavorable
Moses104.4
64
WAR1549.2
13
Moses 104.4/game
WAR concedes 1549.2/game · league avg 1691.0
#15 of 17 clubs most conceded
Tackle Breaksneutral
Moses0.8

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

WAR concede · Run Metres

1549.2per game · league avg 1691.0
#15 of 17 most conceded
Stingy against this stat — the over fights uphill.

Venue split · Run Metres

At Go Media Stadium133.0(2)+29.4
Everywhere else103.6(137)
Only 2 games at this ground — thin evidence.

Wet vs dry · Run Metres

Wet games (≥1mm)94.9(10)-9.8
Dry games104.7(129)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.

Similar players vs WAR · Run Metres

Avg diff
-15.6
Avg diff %
-14%
Hit rate
1/8
beat their own average
DateTeamPlayerAvgResultDiff
08-01GLDJojo Fifita115.188-24%
08-01GLDAJ Brimson92.289-4%
08-01GLDJayden Campbell110.561-45%
08-01GLDMoeaki Fotuaika102.379-23%
07-25CBYViliame Kikau96.295-1%
07-25CBYLeo Thompson116.4123+6%
07-25CBYStephen Crichton105.383-21%
07-25CBYLachlan Galvin118.4114-4%
Similar = season average within ±15.7 of Moses's. Computed from this app's own records.
31
WAR34.3
75
Moses 0.8/game
WAR concedes 34.3/game · league avg 32.7
#5 of 17 clubs most conceded
Tacklesfavorable
Moses24.1
72
WAR363.1
94
Moses 24.1/game
WAR concedes 363.1/game · league avg 345.0
#2 of 17 clubs most conceded
Triesunfavorable
Moses0.0
0
WAR2.9
6
Moses 0.0/game
WAR concedes 2.9/game · league avg 4.1
#16 of 17 clubs most conceded
Try Assistsunfavorable
Moses0.1
56
WAR2.5
6
Moses 0.1/game
WAR concedes 2.5/game · league avg 3.5
#16 of 17 clubs most conceded
Line Breaksunfavorable
Moses0.1
25
WAR4.6
38
Moses 0.1/game
WAR concedes 4.6/game · league avg 5.1
#10 of 17 clubs most conceded
Offloadsfavorable
Moses0.7
73
WAR10.4
75
Moses 0.7/game
WAR concedes 10.4/game · league avg 9.8
#5 of 17 clubs most conceded
Post Contact Metresunfavorable
Moses37.7
71
WAR496.6
13
Moses 37.7/game
WAR concedes 496.6/game · league avg 545.5
#15 of 17 clubs most conceded
All
See allaflThu 19:30WBD◄NOR◄Fri 19:40BRI◄HAW◄See allnrlThu 19:50GLD◄NQL◄Fri 20:00WAR◄PEN◄See allnblFinalSYD113◄ADL101◄See allhorsesR1 13:30Randwick8 racesSee alldogsR1 13:30Wentworth Park8 races