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Game conditionsGo Media Stadium · AucklandRound 23 · 2026-08-07 20:00☁ 10.2°C☂ 0mm (10%)🌬 11.1 km/hClear
Matchup Analyser
Percentile rankings · 2026
higher = more over-friendly
Nathanvs all playersStatWAR concedePer game
103.3
63
Run Metresunfavorable
13
1549.2
Nathan 103.3/game
WAR concedes 1549.2/game · league avg 1691.0
#15 of 17 clubs most conceded
2.5
78
Tackle Breaksfavorable
75
34.3
Nathan 2.5/game
WAR concedes 34.3/game · league avg 32.7
#5 of 17 clubs most conceded
20.1
61
Tacklesneutral
94
363.1
Nathan 20.1/game
WAR concedes 363.1/game · league avg 345.0
#2 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.3
75
Triesunfavorable
6
2.9
Nathan 0.3/game
WAR concedes 2.9/game · league avg 4.1
#16 of 17 clubs most conceded
1.4
100
Try Assistsunfavorable
6
2.5
Nathan 1.4/game
WAR concedes 2.5/game · league avg 3.5
#16 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.8
94
Line Breaksneutral
38
4.6
Nathan 0.8/game
WAR concedes 4.6/game · league avg 5.1
#10 of 17 clubs most conceded
1.1
90
Offloadsfavorable
75
10.4
Nathan 1.1/game
WAR concedes 10.4/game · league avg 9.8
#5 of 17 clubs most conceded
20.6
38
Post Contact Metresunfavorable
13
496.6
Nathan 20.6/game
WAR concedes 496.6/game · league avg 545.5
#15 of 17 clubs most conceded
Run Metresunfavorable
Nathan103.3
63
WAR1549.2
13
Nathan 103.3/game
WAR concedes 1549.2/game · league avg 1691.0
#15 of 17 clubs most conceded
Tackle Breaksfavorable
Nathan2.5
Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.
WAR concede · Tackle Breaks
34.3per game · league avg 32.7
#5 of 17 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.
Venue split · Tackle Breaks
At Go Media Stadium3.0(1)+0.5
Everywhere else2.5(109)
Only 1 game at this ground — thin evidence.
Wet vs dry · Tackle Breaks
Wet games (≥1mm)2.1(9)-0.4
Dry games2.5(101)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.
Similar players vs WAR · Tackle Breaks
Avg diff
+0.5
Avg diff %
+29%
Hit rate
4/8
beat their own average
DateTeamPlayerAvgResultDiff
08-01GLDPhillip Sami3.42-41%
08-01GLDOliver Pascoe1.30-100%
08-01GLDJojo Fifita2.31-56%
08-01GLDAJ Brimson1.92+6%
08-01GLDJayden Campbell2.65+93%
08-01GLDMoeaki Fotuaika1.21-17%
08-01GLDDean Ieremia1.33+140%
08-01GLDTino Fa'asuamaleaui1.65+208%
Similar = season average within ±1.5 of Nathan's. Computed from this app's own records.