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© 2026 Project Punt · Every number is a real historical stat · Gamble responsibly · Credits
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See allaflThu 19:30WBD◄NOR◄Fri 19:40BRI◄HAW◄See allnrlThu 19:50GLD◄NQL◄Fri 20:00WAR◄PEN◄See allnblFinalSYD113◄ADL101◄See allhorsesR1 13:30Randwick8 racesSee alldogsR1 13:30Wentworth Park8 races
WARRound 23Fri 08-07 · 20:00PEN
BTBrian To'oPCM66.5DEDylan EdwardsPCM56.5TJThomas JenkinsPCM52.5IPIsaiah Papali'iPCM48.5IYIsaah YeoPCM47.5CMCasey McLeanPCM44.5PAPaul AlamotiPCM41.5Liam HenryLiam HenryPCM39.5MLMoses LeotaPCM37.5TMTaylan MayPCM32.5LMLiam MartinPCM30.5LSLindsay SmithPCM30.5
JFJackson FordPCM66.5MBMitchell BarnettPCM54.5JFJames Fisher-HarrisPCM54.5RTRoger Tuivasa-SheckPCM52.5ECErin ClarkPCM49.5

Line shown = half-line nearest season avg. Bring the real one from your bookie.

BTBrian To'o66.5DEDylan Edwards56.5TJThomas Jenkins52.5IPIsaiah Papali'i48.5IYIsaah Yeo47.5CMCasey McLean44.5PAPaul Alamoti41.5Liam Henry
DW
Dallin Watene-Zelezniak
PCM
41.5
TSTanner Stowers-SmithPCM40.5
MMMarcelo MontoyaPCM37.5
APAdam PompeyPCM36.5
CNCharnze Nicoll-KlokstadPCM35.5
KCKurt CapewellPCM35.5
TTTaine TuaupikiPCM33.5
Liam Henry
39.5
MLMoses Leota37.5
TMTaylan May32.5
LMLiam Martin30.5
LSLindsay Smith30.5
JFJackson Ford66.5
MBMitchell Barnett54.5
JFJames Fisher-Harris54.5
RTRoger Tuivasa-Sheck52.5
ECErin Clark49.5
DWDallin Watene-Zelezniak41.5
TSTanner Stowers-Smith40.5
MMMarcelo Montoya37.5
APAdam Pompey36.5
CNCharnze Nicoll-Klokstad35.5
KCKurt Capewell35.5
TTTaine Tuaupiki33.5
TriesTry AssistsTackle BreaksLine BreaksRun MetresTacklesOffloadsRunsPointsGoalsLine Break AssistsPost Contact MetresFantasy Points
Current to Round 22, today
NC
Nathan Cleary
Penrith Panthers · @ WAR
20.5 PCMO —U —
Hit rate
50% (8/16)
enter odds to compare
Avg
20.6
L5
20.6
L10
19.4
High
41
← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering
Splits · o20.5
26BRIMar 0618CROMar 1411SYDMar 2024PARMar 2834MELApr 0323CBYApr 0912DOLApr 17☂24NEWApr 2641MANMay 039CBRMay 105SGIMay 1716WSTJun 0730NQLJun 275BRIJul 16☂40PARJul 2312CBRAug 01?WARAug 0720.5
Line Over Under

Tap a bar for full game detail · newest on the right

Game conditionsGo Media Stadium · AucklandRound 23 · 2026-08-07 20:00☁ 10.2°C☂ 0mm (10%)🌬 11.1 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly
Nathanvs all playersStatWAR concedePer game
103.3
63
Run Metresunfavorable
13
1549.2
Nathan 103.3/game
WAR concedes 1549.2/game · league avg 1691.0
#15 of 17 clubs most conceded
2.5
78
Tackle Breaksfavorable
75
34.3
Nathan 2.5/game
WAR concedes 34.3/game · league avg 32.7
#5 of 17 clubs most conceded
20.1
61
Tacklesneutral
94
363.1
Nathan 20.1/game
WAR concedes 363.1/game · league avg 345.0
#2 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.3
75
Triesunfavorable
6
2.9
Nathan 0.3/game
WAR concedes 2.9/game · league avg 4.1
#16 of 17 clubs most conceded
1.4
100
Try Assistsunfavorable
6
2.5
Nathan 1.4/game
WAR concedes 2.5/game · league avg 3.5
#16 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.8
94
Line Breaksneutral
38
4.6
Nathan 0.8/game
WAR concedes 4.6/game · league avg 5.1
#10 of 17 clubs most conceded
1.1
90
Offloadsfavorable
75
10.4
Nathan 1.1/game
WAR concedes 10.4/game · league avg 9.8
#5 of 17 clubs most conceded
20.6
38
Post Contact Metresunfavorable
13
496.6
Nathan 20.6/game
WAR concedes 496.6/game · league avg 545.5
#15 of 17 clubs most conceded
Run Metresunfavorable
Nathan103.3
63
WAR1549.2
13
Nathan 103.3/game
WAR concedes 1549.2/game · league avg 1691.0
#15 of 17 clubs most conceded
Tackle Breaksfavorable
Nathan2.5

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

WAR concede · Post Contact Metres

496.6per game · league avg 545.5
#15 of 17 most conceded
Stingy against this stat — the over fights uphill.

Venue split · Post Contact Metres

At Go Media Stadium17.0(1)+0.1
Everywhere else16.9(109)
Only 1 game at this ground — thin evidence.

Wet vs dry · Post Contact Metres

Wet games (≥1mm)16.3(9)-0.6
Dry games16.9(101)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.

Similar players vs WAR · Post Contact Metres

Avg diff
-4.5
Avg diff %
-21%
Hit rate
1/8
beat their own average
DateTeamPlayerAvgResultDiff
08-01GLDChris Randall23.122-5%
08-01GLDJayden Campbell21.020-5%
08-01GLDArama Hau21.49-58%
08-01GLDCooper Bai23.218-22%
07-25CBYJosh Curran19.927+35%
07-25CBYHarry Hayes23.010-57%
07-18SGITyrell Sloan19.712-39%
07-18SGIJosh Kerr18.816-15%
Similar = season average within ±3.1 of Nathan's. Computed from this app's own records.
78
WAR34.3
75
Nathan 2.5/game
WAR concedes 34.3/game · league avg 32.7
#5 of 17 clubs most conceded
Tacklesneutral
Nathan20.1
61
WAR363.1
94
Nathan 20.1/game
WAR concedes 363.1/game · league avg 345.0
#2 of 17 clubs most conceded
Triesunfavorable
Nathan0.3
75
WAR2.9
6
Nathan 0.3/game
WAR concedes 2.9/game · league avg 4.1
#16 of 17 clubs most conceded
Try Assistsunfavorable
Nathan1.4
100
WAR2.5
6
Nathan 1.4/game
WAR concedes 2.5/game · league avg 3.5
#16 of 17 clubs most conceded
Line Breaksneutral
Nathan0.8
94
WAR4.6
38
Nathan 0.8/game
WAR concedes 4.6/game · league avg 5.1
#10 of 17 clubs most conceded
Offloadsfavorable
Nathan1.1
90
WAR10.4
75
Nathan 1.1/game
WAR concedes 10.4/game · league avg 9.8
#5 of 17 clubs most conceded
Post Contact Metresunfavorable
Nathan20.6
38
WAR496.6
13
Nathan 20.6/game
WAR concedes 496.6/game · league avg 545.5
#15 of 17 clubs most conceded