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© 2026 Project Punt · Every number is a real historical stat · Gamble responsibly · Credits
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See allaflThu 19:30WBD◄NOR◄Fri 19:40BRI◄HAW◄See allnrlThu 19:50GLD◄NQL◄Fri 20:00WAR◄PEN◄See allnblFinalSYD113◄ADL101◄See allhorsesR1 13:30Randwick8 racesSee alldogsR1 13:30Wentworth Park8 races
WARRound 23Fri 08-07 · 20:00PEN
NCNathan ClearyFP74.5IYIsaah YeoFP57.5IPIsaiah Papali'iFP52.5DEDylan EdwardsFP52.5TJThomas JenkinsFP51.5Liam HenryLiam HenryFP47.5LMLiam MartinFP42.5LSLindsay SmithFP41.5PAPaul AlamotiFP40.5BTBrian To'oFP39.5CMCasey McLeanFP38.5TMTaylan MayFP38.5
JFJackson FordFP61.5TMTe Maire MartinFP56.5ECErin ClarkFP50.5JFJames Fisher-HarrisFP47.5MBMitchell BarnettFP42.5

Line shown = half-line nearest season avg. Bring the real one from your bookie.

NCNathan Cleary74.5IYIsaah Yeo57.5IPIsaiah Papali'i52.5DEDylan Edwards52.5TJThomas Jenkins51.5Liam HenryLiam Henry47.5LMLiam Martin42.5
CN
Charnze Nicoll-Klokstad
FP
39.5
KCKurt CapewellFP38.5
WEWayde EganFP38.5
DWDallin Watene-ZelezniakFP37.5
TTTaine TuaupikiFP34.5
JLJacob LabanFP34.5
ALAli LeiatauaFP33.5
LS
Lindsay Smith
41.5
PAPaul Alamoti40.5
BTBrian To'o39.5
CMCasey McLean38.5
TMTaylan May38.5
JFJackson Ford61.5
TMTe Maire Martin56.5
ECErin Clark50.5
JFJames Fisher-Harris47.5
MBMitchell Barnett42.5
CNCharnze Nicoll-Klokstad39.5
KCKurt Capewell38.5
WEWayde Egan38.5
DWDallin Watene-Zelezniak37.5
TTTaine Tuaupiki34.5
JLJacob Laban34.5
ALAli Leiataua33.5
TriesTry AssistsTackle BreaksLine BreaksRun MetresTacklesOffloadsRunsPointsGoalsLine Break AssistsPost Contact MetresFantasy Points
Current to Round 22, today
NC
Nathan Cleary
Penrith Panthers · @ WAR
74.5 FPO —U —
Hit rate
63% (10/16)
enter odds to compare
Avg
74.0
L5
72.2
L10
77.4
High
95
← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering
Splits · o74.5
57BRIMar 0692CROMar 1460SYDMar 2075PARMar 2880MELApr 0346CBYApr 0993DOLApr 17☂85NEWApr 2682MANMay 0395CBRMay 1058SGIMay 1785WSTJun 0764NQLJun 2734BRIJul 16☂88PARJul 2390CBRAug 01?WARAug 0774.5
Line Over Under

Tap a bar for full game detail · newest on the right

Game conditionsGo Media Stadium · AucklandRound 23 · 2026-08-07 20:00☁ 10.2°C☂ 0mm (10%)🌬 11.1 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly
Nathanvs all playersStatWAR concedePer game
103.3
63
Run Metresunfavorable
13
1549.2
Nathan 103.3/game
WAR concedes 1549.2/game · league avg 1691.0
#15 of 17 clubs most conceded
2.5
78
Tackle Breaksfavorable
75
34.3
Nathan 2.5/game
WAR concedes 34.3/game · league avg 32.7
#5 of 17 clubs most conceded
20.1
61
Tacklesneutral
94
363.1
Nathan 20.1/game
WAR concedes 363.1/game · league avg 345.0
#2 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.3
75
Triesunfavorable
6
2.9
Nathan 0.3/game
WAR concedes 2.9/game · league avg 4.1
#16 of 17 clubs most conceded
1.4
100
Try Assistsunfavorable
6
2.5
Nathan 1.4/game
WAR concedes 2.5/game · league avg 3.5
#16 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.8
94
Line Breaksneutral
38
4.6
Nathan 0.8/game
WAR concedes 4.6/game · league avg 5.1
#10 of 17 clubs most conceded
1.1
90
Offloadsfavorable
75
10.4
Nathan 1.1/game
WAR concedes 10.4/game · league avg 9.8
#5 of 17 clubs most conceded
20.6
38
Post Contact Metresunfavorable
13
496.6
Nathan 20.6/game
WAR concedes 496.6/game · league avg 545.5
#15 of 17 clubs most conceded
Run Metresunfavorable
Nathan103.3
63
WAR1549.2
13
Nathan 103.3/game
WAR concedes 1549.2/game · league avg 1691.0
#15 of 17 clubs most conceded
Tackle Breaksfavorable
Nathan2.5

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

WAR concede · Fantasy Points

622.4per game · league avg 645.8
#14 of 17 most conceded
Stingy against this stat — the over fights uphill.

Venue split · Fantasy Points

At Go Media Stadium62.0(1)-12.0
Everywhere else74.0(109)
Only 1 game at this ground — thin evidence.

Wet vs dry · Fantasy Points

Wet games (≥1mm)58.3(9)-16.9
Dry games75.3(101)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.

Similar players vs WAR · Fantasy Points

Avg diff
-3.4
Avg diff %
-5%
Hit rate
3/8
beat their own average
DateTeamPlayerAvgResultDiff
07-18SGIRyan Couchman62.969+10%
07-10WSTTerrell May68.161-10%
07-10WSTAlex Twal64.958-11%
06-27DOLHerbie Farnworth64.9650%
05-23SGIRyan Couchman62.960-5%
04-25DOLHerbie Farnworth64.956-14%
04-05CRONicho Hynes68.478+14%
03-27WSTTerrell May68.151-25%
Similar = season average within ±11.1 of Nathan's. Computed from this app's own records.
78
WAR34.3
75
Nathan 2.5/game
WAR concedes 34.3/game · league avg 32.7
#5 of 17 clubs most conceded
Tacklesneutral
Nathan20.1
61
WAR363.1
94
Nathan 20.1/game
WAR concedes 363.1/game · league avg 345.0
#2 of 17 clubs most conceded
Triesunfavorable
Nathan0.3
75
WAR2.9
6
Nathan 0.3/game
WAR concedes 2.9/game · league avg 4.1
#16 of 17 clubs most conceded
Try Assistsunfavorable
Nathan1.4
100
WAR2.5
6
Nathan 1.4/game
WAR concedes 2.5/game · league avg 3.5
#16 of 17 clubs most conceded
Line Breaksneutral
Nathan0.8
94
WAR4.6
38
Nathan 0.8/game
WAR concedes 4.6/game · league avg 5.1
#10 of 17 clubs most conceded
Offloadsfavorable
Nathan1.1
90
WAR10.4
75
Nathan 1.1/game
WAR concedes 10.4/game · league avg 9.8
#5 of 17 clubs most conceded
Post Contact Metresunfavorable
Nathan20.6
38
WAR496.6
13
Nathan 20.6/game
WAR concedes 496.6/game · league avg 545.5
#15 of 17 clubs most conceded