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© 2026 Project Punt · Every number is a real historical stat · Gamble responsibly · Credits
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See allaflThu 19:30WBD◄NOR◄Fri 19:40BRI◄HAW◄See allnrlThu 19:50GLD◄NQL◄Fri 20:00WAR◄PEN◄See allnblFinalSYD113◄ADL101◄See allhorsesR1 13:30Randwick8 racesSee alldogsR1 13:30Wentworth Park8 races
WARRound 23Fri 08-07 · 20:00PEN
DEDylan EdwardsRUN23.5BTBrian To'oRUN19.5TJThomas JenkinsRUN18.5IPIsaiah Papali'iRUN15.5CMCasey McLeanRUN14.5PAPaul AlamotiRUN14.5JEJaxen EdgarRUN14.5IYIsaah YeoRUN13.5NCNathan ClearyRUN13.5Liam HenryLiam HenryRUN13.5LSLindsay SmithRUN11.5TMTaylan MayRUN11.5
JFJackson FordRUN17.5TTTaine TuaupikiRUN16.5JFJames Fisher-HarrisRUN16.5MBMitchell BarnettRUN16.5DWDallin Watene-ZelezniakRUN15.5RT

Line shown = half-line nearest season avg. Bring the real one from your bookie.

DEDylan Edwards23.5BTBrian To'o19.5TJThomas Jenkins18.5IPIsaiah Papali'i15.5CMCasey McLean14.5PAPaul Alamoti14.5JEJaxen Edgar14.5IYIsaah Yeo13.5
Roger Tuivasa-Sheck
RUN
15.5
MMMarcelo MontoyaRUN14.5
ECErin ClarkRUN14.5
CNCharnze Nicoll-KlokstadRUN13.5
APAdam PompeyRUN12.5
AKAlofiana Khan-PereiraRUN11.5
TSTanner Stowers-SmithRUN11.5
NCNathan Cleary13.5
Liam HenryLiam Henry13.5
LSLindsay Smith11.5
TMTaylan May11.5
JFJackson Ford17.5
TTTaine Tuaupiki16.5
JFJames Fisher-Harris16.5
MBMitchell Barnett16.5
DWDallin Watene-Zelezniak15.5
RTRoger Tuivasa-Sheck15.5
MMMarcelo Montoya14.5
ECErin Clark14.5
CNCharnze Nicoll-Klokstad13.5
APAdam Pompey12.5
AKAlofiana Khan-Pereira11.5
TSTanner Stowers-Smith11.5
TriesTry AssistsTackle BreaksLine BreaksRun MetresTacklesOffloadsRunsPointsGoalsLine Break AssistsPost Contact MetresFantasy Points
Current to Round 22, today
NC
Nathan Cleary
Penrith Panthers · @ WAR
13.5 RUNO —U —
Hit rate
44% (7/16)
enter odds to compare
Avg
13.6
L5
12.6
L10
13.5
High
20
← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering
Splits · o13.5
12BRIMar 0620CROMar 1412SYDMar 2010PARMar 2818MELApr 0310CBYApr 0913DOLApr 17☂20NEWApr 2620MANMay 039CBRMay 1010SGIMay 1714WSTJun 079NQLJun 277BRIJul 16☂19PARJul 2314CBRAug 01?WARAug 0713.5
Line Over Under

Tap a bar for full game detail · newest on the right

Game conditionsGo Media Stadium · AucklandRound 23 · 2026-08-07 20:00☁ 10.2°C☂ 0mm (10%)🌬 11.1 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly
Nathanvs all playersStatWAR concedePer game
103.3
63
Run Metresunfavorable
13
1549.2
Nathan 103.3/game
WAR concedes 1549.2/game · league avg 1691.0
#15 of 17 clubs most conceded
2.5
78
Tackle Breaksfavorable
75
34.3
Nathan 2.5/game
WAR concedes 34.3/game · league avg 32.7
#5 of 17 clubs most conceded
20.1
61
Tacklesneutral
94
363.1
Nathan 20.1/game
WAR concedes 363.1/game · league avg 345.0
#2 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.3
75
Triesunfavorable
6
2.9
Nathan 0.3/game
WAR concedes 2.9/game · league avg 4.1
#16 of 17 clubs most conceded
1.4
100
Try Assistsunfavorable
6
2.5
Nathan 1.4/game
WAR concedes 2.5/game · league avg 3.5
#16 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.8
94
Line Breaksneutral
38
4.6
Nathan 0.8/game
WAR concedes 4.6/game · league avg 5.1
#10 of 17 clubs most conceded
1.1
90
Offloadsfavorable
75
10.4
Nathan 1.1/game
WAR concedes 10.4/game · league avg 9.8
#5 of 17 clubs most conceded
20.6
38
Post Contact Metresunfavorable
13
496.6
Nathan 20.6/game
WAR concedes 496.6/game · league avg 545.5
#15 of 17 clubs most conceded
Run Metresunfavorable
Nathan103.3
63
WAR1549.2
13
Nathan 103.3/game
WAR concedes 1549.2/game · league avg 1691.0
#15 of 17 clubs most conceded
Tackle Breaksfavorable
Nathan2.5

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

WAR concede · Runs

176.2per game · league avg 186.3
#17 of 17 most conceded
Stingy against this stat — the over fights uphill.

Venue split · Runs

At Go Media Stadium8.0(1)-7.8
Everywhere else15.8(109)
Only 1 game at this ground — thin evidence.

Wet vs dry · Runs

Wet games (≥1mm)11.7(9)-4.4
Dry games16.1(101)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.

Similar players vs WAR · Runs

Avg diff
+0.7
Avg diff %
+6%
Hit rate
5/8
beat their own average
DateTeamPlayerAvgResultDiff
08-01GLDTino Fa'asuamaleaui15.116+6%
08-01GLDBeau Fermor14.415+4%
07-25CBYMax King14.115+6%
07-25CBYLeo Thompson13.514+4%
07-25CBYJethro Rinakama12.518+44%
07-25CBYMatt Burton12.612-5%
07-25CBYLachlan Galvin13.812-13%
07-18SGIRyan Couchman14.1140%
Similar = season average within ±2.0 of Nathan's. Computed from this app's own records.
78
WAR34.3
75
Nathan 2.5/game
WAR concedes 34.3/game · league avg 32.7
#5 of 17 clubs most conceded
Tacklesneutral
Nathan20.1
61
WAR363.1
94
Nathan 20.1/game
WAR concedes 363.1/game · league avg 345.0
#2 of 17 clubs most conceded
Triesunfavorable
Nathan0.3
75
WAR2.9
6
Nathan 0.3/game
WAR concedes 2.9/game · league avg 4.1
#16 of 17 clubs most conceded
Try Assistsunfavorable
Nathan1.4
100
WAR2.5
6
Nathan 1.4/game
WAR concedes 2.5/game · league avg 3.5
#16 of 17 clubs most conceded
Line Breaksneutral
Nathan0.8
94
WAR4.6
38
Nathan 0.8/game
WAR concedes 4.6/game · league avg 5.1
#10 of 17 clubs most conceded
Offloadsfavorable
Nathan1.1
90
WAR10.4
75
Nathan 1.1/game
WAR concedes 10.4/game · league avg 9.8
#5 of 17 clubs most conceded
Post Contact Metresunfavorable
Nathan20.6
38
WAR496.6
13
Nathan 20.6/game
WAR concedes 496.6/game · league avg 545.5
#15 of 17 clubs most conceded