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Game conditionsGo Media Stadium · AucklandRound 23 · 2026-08-07 20:00☁ 10.2°C☂ 0mm (10%)🌬 11.1 km/hClear
Matchup Analyser
Percentile rankings · 2026
higher = more over-friendly
Caseyvs all playersStatWAR concedePer game
140.8
85
Run Metresunfavorable
13
1549.2
Casey 140.8/game
WAR concedes 1549.2/game · league avg 1691.0
#15 of 17 clubs most conceded
2.9
84
Tackle Breaksfavorable
75
34.3
Casey 2.9/game
WAR concedes 34.3/game · league avg 32.7
#5 of 17 clubs most conceded
13.7
42
Tacklesneutral
94
363.1
Casey 13.7/game
WAR concedes 363.1/game · league avg 345.0
#2 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.5
87
Triesunfavorable
6
2.9
Casey 0.5/game
WAR concedes 2.9/game · league avg 4.1
#16 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.6
92
Try Assistsunfavorable
6
2.5
Casey 0.6/game
WAR concedes 2.5/game · league avg 3.5
#16 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.5
85
Line Breaksneutral
38
4.6
Casey 0.5/game
WAR concedes 4.6/game · league avg 5.1
#10 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.5
63
Offloadsneutral
75
10.4
Casey 0.5/game
WAR concedes 10.4/game · league avg 9.8
#5 of 17 clubs most conceded
44.9
82
Post Contact Metresunfavorable
13
496.6
Casey 44.9/game
WAR concedes 496.6/game · league avg 545.5
#15 of 17 clubs most conceded
Run Metresunfavorable
Casey140.8
85
WAR1549.2
13
Casey 140.8/game
WAR concedes 1549.2/game · league avg 1691.0
#15 of 17 clubs most conceded
Tackle Breaksfavorable
Casey2.9
Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.
WAR concede · Points
16.4per game · league avg 23.7
#16 of 17 most conceded
Stingy against this stat — the over fights uphill.
Venue split · Points
At Go Media Stadium2.0(2)
Everywhere else2.0(49)
Only 2 games at this ground — thin evidence.
Wet vs dry · Points
Wet games (≥1mm)1.3(3)-0.8
Dry games2.1(48)
Only 3 wet games on record — thin evidence.
Similar players vs WAR · Points
Avg diff
-0.7
Avg diff %
-66%
Hit rate
1/8
beat their own average
DateTeamPlayerAvgResultDiff
08-01GLDAJ Brimson0.70-100%
08-01GLDArama Hau1.54+171%
08-01GLDDean Ieremia1.00-100%
08-01GLDJojo Fifita1.60-100%
08-01GLDPhillip Sami2.50-100%
08-01GLDOliver Pascoe1.10-100%
08-01GLDKeano Kini0.60-100%
08-01GLDBeau Fermor0.40-100%
Similar = season average within ±1.5 of Casey's. Computed from this app's own records.
Liam Henry1.5