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© 2026 Project Punt · Every number is a real historical stat · Gamble responsibly · Credits
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See allaflThu 19:30WBD◄NOR◄Fri 19:40BRI◄HAW◄See allnrlThu 19:50GLD◄NQL◄Fri 20:00WAR◄PEN◄See allnblFinalSYD113◄ADL101◄See allhorsesR1 13:30Randwick8 racesSee alldogsR1 13:30Wentworth Park8 races
WARRound 23Fri 08-07 · 20:00PEN
DEDylan EdwardsRM217.5BTBrian To'oRM192.5TJThomas JenkinsRM190.5CMCasey McLeanRM140.5PAPaul AlamotiRM139.5IPIsaiah Papali'iRM125.5IYIsaah YeoRM124.5Liam HenryLiam HenryRM123.5JEJaxen EdgarRM119.5TMTaylan MayRM115.5MLMoses LeotaRM104.5NCNathan ClearyRM103.5
JFJackson FordRM160.5TTTaine TuaupikiRM154.5RTRoger Tuivasa-SheckRM152.5DWDallin Watene-ZelezniakRM152.5MBMitchell BarnettRM147.5

Line shown = half-line nearest season avg. Bring the real one from your bookie.

DEDylan Edwards217.5BTBrian To'o192.5TJThomas Jenkins190.5CMCasey McLean140.5PAPaul Alamoti139.5IPIsaiah Papali'i125.5IYIsaah Yeo124.5Liam Henry
JF
James Fisher-Harris
RM
142.5
ECErin ClarkRM134.5
MMMarcelo MontoyaRM125.5
CNCharnze Nicoll-KlokstadRM123.5
AKAlofiana Khan-PereiraRM112.5
TSTanner Stowers-SmithRM108.5
APAdam PompeyRM102.5
Liam Henry
123.5
JEJaxen Edgar119.5
TMTaylan May115.5
MLMoses Leota104.5
NCNathan Cleary103.5
JFJackson Ford160.5
TTTaine Tuaupiki154.5
RTRoger Tuivasa-Sheck152.5
DWDallin Watene-Zelezniak152.5
MBMitchell Barnett147.5
JFJames Fisher-Harris142.5
ECErin Clark134.5
MMMarcelo Montoya125.5
CNCharnze Nicoll-Klokstad123.5
AKAlofiana Khan-Pereira112.5
TSTanner Stowers-Smith108.5
APAdam Pompey102.5
TriesTry AssistsTackle BreaksLine BreaksRun MetresTacklesOffloadsRunsPointsGoalsLine Break AssistsPost Contact MetresFantasy Points
Current to Round 22, today
CM
Casey McLean
Penrith Panthers · @ WAR
140.5 RMO —U —
Hit rate
47% (7/15)
enter odds to compare
Avg
140.8
L5
130.4
L10
136.2
High
204
← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering
Splits · o140.5
113BRIMar 06144CROMar 14105SYDMar 20204PARMar 28184MELApr 03138CBYApr 09159NEWApr 26120MANMay 03140CBRMay 10153SGIMay 17158WARMay 31116WSTJun 0791BRIJul 16☂112PARJul 23175CBRAug 01?WARAug 07140.5
Line Over Under

Tap a bar for full game detail · newest on the right

Game conditionsGo Media Stadium · AucklandRound 23 · 2026-08-07 20:00☁ 10.2°C☂ 0mm (10%)🌬 11.1 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly
Caseyvs all playersStatWAR concedePer game
140.8
85
Run Metresunfavorable
13
1549.2
Casey 140.8/game
WAR concedes 1549.2/game · league avg 1691.0
#15 of 17 clubs most conceded
2.9
84
Tackle Breaksfavorable
75
34.3
Casey 2.9/game
WAR concedes 34.3/game · league avg 32.7
#5 of 17 clubs most conceded
13.7
42
Tacklesneutral
94
363.1
Casey 13.7/game
WAR concedes 363.1/game · league avg 345.0
#2 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.5
87
Triesunfavorable
6
2.9
Casey 0.5/game
WAR concedes 2.9/game · league avg 4.1
#16 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.6
92
Try Assistsunfavorable
6
2.5
Casey 0.6/game
WAR concedes 2.5/game · league avg 3.5
#16 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.5
85
Line Breaksneutral
38
4.6
Casey 0.5/game
WAR concedes 4.6/game · league avg 5.1
#10 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.5
63
Offloadsneutral
75
10.4
Casey 0.5/game
WAR concedes 10.4/game · league avg 9.8
#5 of 17 clubs most conceded
44.9
82
Post Contact Metresunfavorable
13
496.6
Casey 44.9/game
WAR concedes 496.6/game · league avg 545.5
#15 of 17 clubs most conceded
Run Metresunfavorable
Casey140.8
85
WAR1549.2
13
Casey 140.8/game
WAR concedes 1549.2/game · league avg 1691.0
#15 of 17 clubs most conceded
Tackle Breaksfavorable
Casey2.9

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

WAR concede · Run Metres

1549.2per game · league avg 1691.0
#15 of 17 most conceded
Stingy against this stat — the over fights uphill.

Venue split · Run Metres

At Go Media Stadium109.0(2)-5.7
Everywhere else114.7(49)
Only 2 games at this ground — thin evidence.

Wet vs dry · Run Metres

Wet games (≥1mm)93.0(3)-22.9
Dry games115.9(48)
Only 3 wet games on record — thin evidence.

Similar players vs WAR · Run Metres

Avg diff
+12.7
Avg diff %
+9%
Hit rate
4/8
beat their own average
DateTeamPlayerAvgResultDiff
08-01GLDDean Ieremia128.5113-12%
08-01GLDTino Fa'asuamaleaui141.8174+23%
08-01GLDBeau Fermor122.6113-8%
07-25CBYMax King127.41270%
07-25CBYEnari Tuala157.6210+33%
07-25CBYMatt Burton125.1135+8%
07-25CBYJethro Rinakama121.6172+41%
07-18SGIClinton Gutherson151.1133-12%
Similar = season average within ±21.1 of Casey's. Computed from this app's own records.
84
WAR34.3
75
Casey 2.9/game
WAR concedes 34.3/game · league avg 32.7
#5 of 17 clubs most conceded
Tacklesneutral
Casey13.7
42
WAR363.1
94
Casey 13.7/game
WAR concedes 363.1/game · league avg 345.0
#2 of 17 clubs most conceded
Triesunfavorable
Casey0.5
87
WAR2.9
6
Casey 0.5/game
WAR concedes 2.9/game · league avg 4.1
#16 of 17 clubs most conceded
Try Assistsunfavorable
Casey0.6
92
WAR2.5
6
Casey 0.6/game
WAR concedes 2.5/game · league avg 3.5
#16 of 17 clubs most conceded
Line Breaksneutral
Casey0.5
85
WAR4.6
38
Casey 0.5/game
WAR concedes 4.6/game · league avg 5.1
#10 of 17 clubs most conceded
Offloadsneutral
Casey0.5
63
WAR10.4
75
Casey 0.5/game
WAR concedes 10.4/game · league avg 9.8
#5 of 17 clubs most conceded
Post Contact Metresunfavorable
Casey44.9
82
WAR496.6
13
Casey 44.9/game
WAR concedes 496.6/game · league avg 545.5
#15 of 17 clubs most conceded