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© 2026 Project Punt · Every number is a real historical stat · Gamble responsibly · Credits
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See allaflThu 19:30WBD◄NOR◄Fri 19:40BRI◄HAW◄See allnrlThu 19:50GLD◄NQL◄Fri 20:00WAR◄PEN◄See allnblFinalSYD113◄ADL101◄See allhorsesR1 13:30Randwick8 racesSee alldogsR1 13:30Wentworth Park8 races
WARRound 23Fri 08-07 · 20:00PEN
DEDylan EdwardsTB4.5JEJaxen EdgarTB4.5BTBrian To'oTB4.5PAPaul AlamotiTB4.5TJThomas JenkinsTB3.5TMTaylan MayTB3.5CMCasey McLeanTB2.5NCNathan ClearyTB2.5IPIsaiah Papali'iTB2.5IYIsaah YeoTB2.5LMLiam MartinTB1.5LPLuron PateaTB1.5
TTTaine TuaupikiTB4.5ALAli LeiatauaTB3.5MMMarcelo MontoyaTB3.5RPRiley PriceTB3.5LHLeka HalasimaTB2.5TM

Line shown = half-line nearest season avg. Bring the real one from your bookie.

DEDylan Edwards4.5JEJaxen Edgar4.5BTBrian To'o4.5PAPaul Alamoti4.5TJThomas Jenkins3.5TMTaylan May3.5CMCasey McLean2.5NCNathan Cleary
Te Maire Martin
TB
2.5
AKAlofiana Khan-PereiraTB2.5
CNCharnze Nicoll-KlokstadTB2.5
DWDallin Watene-ZelezniakTB2.5
RTRoger Tuivasa-SheckTB2.5
JFJackson FordTB2.5
TSTanner Stowers-SmithTB1.5
2.5
IPIsaiah Papali'i2.5
IYIsaah Yeo2.5
LMLiam Martin1.5
LPLuron Patea1.5
TTTaine Tuaupiki4.5
ALAli Leiataua3.5
MMMarcelo Montoya3.5
RPRiley Price3.5
LHLeka Halasima2.5
TMTe Maire Martin2.5
AKAlofiana Khan-Pereira2.5
CNCharnze Nicoll-Klokstad2.5
DWDallin Watene-Zelezniak2.5
RTRoger Tuivasa-Sheck2.5
JFJackson Ford2.5
TSTanner Stowers-Smith1.5
TriesTry AssistsTackle BreaksLine BreaksRun MetresTacklesOffloadsRunsPointsGoalsLine Break AssistsPost Contact MetresFantasy Points
Current to Round 22, today
PA
Paul Alamoti
Penrith Panthers · @ WAR
4.5 TBO —U —
Hit rate
32% (6/19)
enter odds to compare
Avg
4.2
L5
4.4
L10
3.9
High
12
← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering
Splits · o4.5
3BRIMar 066CROMar 145SYDMar 202PARMar 283MELApr 034CBYApr 091DOLApr 17☂12NEWApr 264MANMay 032CBRMay 103SGIMay 173WARMay 315WSTJun 074GLDJun 202NQLJun 275SOUJul 033BRIJul 16☂8PARJul 234CBRAug 01?WARAug 074.5
Line Over Under

Tap a bar for full game detail · newest on the right

Game conditionsGo Media Stadium · AucklandRound 23 · 2026-08-07 20:00☁ 10.2°C☂ 0mm (10%)🌬 11.1 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly
Paulvs all playersStatWAR concedePer game
139.8
85
Run Metresunfavorable
13
1549.2
Paul 139.8/game
WAR concedes 1549.2/game · league avg 1691.0
#15 of 17 clubs most conceded
4.2
94
Tackle Breaksfavorable
75
34.3
Paul 4.2/game
WAR concedes 34.3/game · league avg 32.7
#5 of 17 clubs most conceded
13.0
38
Tacklesneutral
94
363.1
Paul 13.0/game
WAR concedes 363.1/game · league avg 345.0
#2 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.2
63
Triesunfavorable
6
2.9
Paul 0.2/game
WAR concedes 2.9/game · league avg 4.1
#16 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.2
73
Try Assistsunfavorable
6
2.5
Paul 0.2/game
WAR concedes 2.5/game · league avg 3.5
#16 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.5
81
Line Breaksneutral
38
4.6
Paul 0.5/game
WAR concedes 4.6/game · league avg 5.1
#10 of 17 clubs most conceded
1.2
93
Offloadsfavorable
75
10.4
Paul 1.2/game
WAR concedes 10.4/game · league avg 9.8
#5 of 17 clubs most conceded
41.7
79
Post Contact Metresunfavorable
13
496.6
Paul 41.7/game
WAR concedes 496.6/game · league avg 545.5
#15 of 17 clubs most conceded
Run Metresunfavorable
Paul139.8
85
WAR1549.2
13
Paul 139.8/game
WAR concedes 1549.2/game · league avg 1691.0
#15 of 17 clubs most conceded
Tackle Breaksfavorable
Paul4.2

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

WAR concede · Tackle Breaks

34.3per game · league avg 32.7
#5 of 17 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Tackle Breaks

At Go Media Stadium4.3(3)+0.9
Everywhere else3.4(75)
Only 3 games at this ground — thin evidence.

Wet vs dry · Tackle Breaks

Wet games (≥1mm)4.0(5)+0.6
Dry games3.4(73)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.

Similar players vs WAR · Tackle Breaks

Avg diff
+0.2
Avg diff %
+4%
Hit rate
4/8
beat their own average
DateTeamPlayerAvgResultDiff
08-01GLDKeano Kini4.67+51%
08-01GLDPhillip Sami3.42-41%
07-25CBYEnari Tuala3.44+19%
07-25CBYConnor Tracey2.82-29%
07-25CBYJacob Kiraz3.74+9%
07-25CBYMatt Burton2.85+80%
07-25CBYViliame Kikau2.82-29%
07-18SGIRyan Couchman2.72-25%
Similar = season average within ±1.5 of Paul's. Computed from this app's own records.
94
WAR34.3
75
Paul 4.2/game
WAR concedes 34.3/game · league avg 32.7
#5 of 17 clubs most conceded
Tacklesneutral
Paul13.0
38
WAR363.1
94
Paul 13.0/game
WAR concedes 363.1/game · league avg 345.0
#2 of 17 clubs most conceded
Triesunfavorable
Paul0.2
63
WAR2.9
6
Paul 0.2/game
WAR concedes 2.9/game · league avg 4.1
#16 of 17 clubs most conceded
Try Assistsunfavorable
Paul0.2
73
WAR2.5
6
Paul 0.2/game
WAR concedes 2.5/game · league avg 3.5
#16 of 17 clubs most conceded
Line Breaksneutral
Paul0.5
81
WAR4.6
38
Paul 0.5/game
WAR concedes 4.6/game · league avg 5.1
#10 of 17 clubs most conceded
Offloadsfavorable
Paul1.2
93
WAR10.4
75
Paul 1.2/game
WAR concedes 10.4/game · league avg 9.8
#5 of 17 clubs most conceded
Post Contact Metresunfavorable
Paul41.7
79
WAR496.6
13
Paul 41.7/game
WAR concedes 496.6/game · league avg 545.5
#15 of 17 clubs most conceded