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© 2026 Project Punt · Every number is a real historical stat · Gamble responsibly · Credits
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See allaflThu 19:30WBD◄NOR◄Fri 19:40BRI◄HAW◄See allnrlThu 19:50GLD◄NQL◄Fri 20:00WAR◄PEN◄See allnblFinalSYD113◄ADL101◄See allhorsesR1 13:30Randwick8 racesSee alldogsR1 13:30Wentworth Park8 races
WARRound 23Fri 08-07 · 20:00PEN
JFJackson FordTK41.5WEWayde EganTK31.5KCKurt CapewellTK31.5JFJames Fisher-HarrisTK31.5ECErin ClarkTK28.5JLJacob LabanTK26.5MBMitchell BarnettTK25.5TMTe Maire MartinTK23.5TSTanner Stowers-SmithTK21.5LHLeka HalasimaTK19.5DVDemitric VaimaugaTK18.5BABunty AfoaTK17.5
IYIsaah YeoTK37.5IPIsaiah Papali'iTK33.5Liam HenryLiam HenryTK32.5MKMitch KennyTK31.5LSLindsay SmithTK28.5

Line shown = half-line nearest season avg. Bring the real one from your bookie.

JFJackson Ford41.5WEWayde Egan31.5KCKurt Capewell31.5JFJames Fisher-Harris31.5ECErin Clark28.5JLJacob Laban26.5MBMitchell Barnett25.5TMTe Maire Martin
FL
Freddy Lussick
TK
27.5
LMLiam MartinTK26.5
MLMoses LeotaTK24.5
PRPreston RikiTK23.5
SSScott SorensenTK23.5
LGLuke GarnerTK21.5
NCNathan ClearyTK20.5
23.5
TSTanner Stowers-Smith21.5
LHLeka Halasima19.5
DVDemitric Vaimauga18.5
BABunty Afoa17.5
IYIsaah Yeo37.5
IPIsaiah Papali'i33.5
Liam HenryLiam Henry32.5
MKMitch Kenny31.5
LSLindsay Smith28.5
FLFreddy Lussick27.5
LMLiam Martin26.5
MLMoses Leota24.5
PRPreston Riki23.5
SSScott Sorensen23.5
LGLuke Garner21.5
NCNathan Cleary20.5
TriesTry AssistsTackle BreaksLine BreaksRun MetresTacklesOffloadsRunsPointsGoalsLine Break AssistsPost Contact MetresFantasy Points
Current to Round 22, today
DV
Demitric Vaimauga
New Zealand Warriors · vs PEN
18.5 TKO —U —
Hit rate
50% (9/18)
enter odds to compare
Avg
18.7
L5
21.2
L10
20.9
High
29
← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering
Splits · o18.5
11SYDMar 0614CBRMar 1329NEWMar 210WSTMar 2718CROApr 0511MELApr 1121GLDApr 1824DOLApr 2514PARMay 0217BRIMay 1727SGIMay 2318PENMay 3127CROJun 1320NQLJun 2121DOLJun 2720WSTJul 1016SGIJul 1829CBYJul 25?PENAug 0718.5
Line Over Under

Tap a bar for full game detail · newest on the right

Game conditionsGo Media Stadium · AucklandRound 23 · 2026-08-07 20:00☁ 10.2°C☂ 0mm (10%)🌬 11.1 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly
Demitricvs all playersStatPEN concedePer game
71.7
42
Run Metresunfavorable
25
1564.5
Demitric 71.7/game
PEN concedes 1564.5/game · league avg 1691.0
#13 of 17 clubs most conceded
1.8
62
Tackle Breaksunfavorable
25
31.2
Demitric 1.8/game
PEN concedes 31.2/game · league avg 32.7
#13 of 17 clubs most conceded
18.7
58
Tacklesneutral
100
369.8
Demitric 18.7/game
PEN concedes 369.8/game · league avg 345.0
#1 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.0
0
Triesunfavorable
0
2.5
Demitric 0.0/game
PEN concedes 2.5/game · league avg 4.1
#17 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.1
42
Try Assistsunfavorable
0
2.3
Demitric 0.1/game
PEN concedes 2.3/game · league avg 3.5
#17 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.0
0
Line Breaksunfavorable
0
3.9
Demitric 0.0/game
PEN concedes 3.9/game · league avg 5.1
#17 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.6
65
Offloadsunfavorable
6
8.3
Demitric 0.6/game
PEN concedes 8.3/game · league avg 9.8
#16 of 17 clubs most conceded
26.4
50
Post Contact Metresneutral
50
545.3
Demitric 26.4/game
PEN concedes 545.3/game · league avg 545.5
#9 of 17 clubs most conceded
Run Metresunfavorable
Demitric71.7
42
PEN1564.5
25
Demitric 71.7/game
PEN concedes 1564.5/game · league avg 1691.0
#13 of 17 clubs most conceded
Tackle Breaksunfavorable
Demitric1.8

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

PEN concede · Tackles

369.8per game · league avg 345.0
#1 of 17 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Tackles

At Go Media Stadium17.8(20)-1.2
Everywhere else18.9(32)
Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Tackles

Wet games (≥1mm)23.0(3)+4.8
Dry games18.2(49)
Only 3 wet games on record — thin evidence.

Similar players vs PEN · Tackles

Avg diff
+1.5
Avg diff %
+6%
Hit rate
4/8
beat their own average
DateTeamPlayerAvgResultDiff
08-01CBREthan Sanders17.612-32%
08-01CBRMatty Nicholson20.033+65%
08-01CBRJosh Papalii17.723+30%
08-01CBREthan Strange20.121+5%
07-23PARSam Tuivaiti21.529+35%
07-23PARLuca Moretti18.113-28%
07-23PARRonald Volkman20.0200%
07-23PARMitchell Moses17.113-24%
Similar = season average within ±2.8 of Demitric's. Computed from this app's own records.
62
PEN31.2
25
Demitric 1.8/game
PEN concedes 31.2/game · league avg 32.7
#13 of 17 clubs most conceded
Tacklesneutral
Demitric18.7
58
PEN369.8
100
Demitric 18.7/game
PEN concedes 369.8/game · league avg 345.0
#1 of 17 clubs most conceded
Triesunfavorable
Demitric0.0
0
PEN2.5
0
Demitric 0.0/game
PEN concedes 2.5/game · league avg 4.1
#17 of 17 clubs most conceded
Try Assistsunfavorable
Demitric0.1
42
PEN2.3
0
Demitric 0.1/game
PEN concedes 2.3/game · league avg 3.5
#17 of 17 clubs most conceded
Line Breaksunfavorable
Demitric0.0
0
PEN3.9
0
Demitric 0.0/game
PEN concedes 3.9/game · league avg 5.1
#17 of 17 clubs most conceded
Offloadsunfavorable
Demitric0.6
65
PEN8.3
6
Demitric 0.6/game
PEN concedes 8.3/game · league avg 9.8
#16 of 17 clubs most conceded
Post Contact Metresneutral
Demitric26.4
50
PEN545.3
50
Demitric 26.4/game
PEN concedes 545.3/game · league avg 545.5
#9 of 17 clubs most conceded