Project Punt — AFL & NRL props, checked

Current to Round 20, 2 days ago

Wil Dawson

North Melbourne · @ HAW

2.5 TKO —U —

Hit rate

17% (1/6)

enter odds to compare

Avg

2.2

1.8

L10

2.2

High

← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering

Line Over Under

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for Round 21 @ HAW

Game conditionsYork Park · LauncestonRound 21 · 2026-08-01 13:35☁ 12.9°C☂ 0mm (2%)🌬 14.5 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly

Wilvs all playersStatHAW concedePer game

5.3Disposals355.0

2.7Kicks205.1

1.5Marks81.7

2.2Tackles60.8

0.3Clearances34.2

1.3Inside 50s51.3

1.8Contested Poss.127.8

0.0Goals12.3

Disposals

Wil5.3

HAW355.0

Kicks

Wil2.7

HAW205.1

Marks

Wil1.5

HAW81.7

Tackles

Wil2.2

HAW60.8

Clearances

Wil0.3

HAW34.2

Inside 50s

Wil1.3

HAW51.3

Contested Poss.

Wil1.8

HAW127.8

Goals

Wil0.0

HAW12.3

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

HAW concede · Tackles

60.8per game · league avg 56.9

#5 of 18 most conceded

They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Tackles

At York Park2.0(1)-0.2

Everywhere else2.2(13)

Only 1 game at this ground — thin evidence.

Wet vs dry · Tackles

Wet games (≥1mm)2.0(2)-0.2

Dry games2.2(12)

Only 2 wet games on record — thin evidence.