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© 2026 Project Punt · Every number is a real historical stat · Gamble responsibly · Credits
WARRound 23Fri 08-07 · 20:00PEN
JFJackson FordRUN17.5TTTaine TuaupikiRUN16.5JFJames Fisher-HarrisRUN16.5MBMitchell BarnettRUN16.5DWDallin Watene-ZelezniakRUN15.5RTRoger Tuivasa-SheckRUN15.5MMMarcelo MontoyaRUN14.5ECErin ClarkRUN14.5CNCharnze Nicoll-KlokstadRUN13.5APAdam PompeyRUN12.5AKAlofiana Khan-PereiraRUN11.5TSTanner Stowers-SmithRUN11.5
DEDylan EdwardsRUN23.5BTBrian To'oRUN19.5TJThomas JenkinsRUN18.5IPIsaiah Papali'iRUN15.5CMCasey McLeanRUN14.5PA

Line shown = half-line nearest season avg. Bring the real one from your bookie.

JFJackson Ford17.5TTTaine Tuaupiki16.5JFJames Fisher-Harris16.5MBMitchell Barnett16.5DWDallin Watene-Zelezniak15.5RTRoger Tuivasa-Sheck15.5MMMarcelo Montoya14.5ECErin Clark
Paul Alamoti
RUN
14.5
JEJaxen EdgarRUN14.5
IYIsaah YeoRUN13.5
NCNathan ClearyRUN13.5
Liam HenryLiam HenryRUN13.5
LSLindsay SmithRUN11.5
TMTaylan MayRUN11.5
14.5
CNCharnze Nicoll-Klokstad13.5
APAdam Pompey12.5
AKAlofiana Khan-Pereira11.5
TSTanner Stowers-Smith11.5
DEDylan Edwards23.5
BTBrian To'o19.5
TJThomas Jenkins18.5
IPIsaiah Papali'i15.5
CMCasey McLean14.5
PAPaul Alamoti14.5
JEJaxen Edgar14.5
IYIsaah Yeo13.5
NCNathan Cleary13.5
Liam HenryLiam Henry13.5
LSLindsay Smith11.5
TMTaylan May11.5
TriesTry AssistsTackle BreaksLine BreaksRun MetresTacklesOffloadsRunsPointsGoalsLine Break AssistsPost Contact MetresFantasy Points
Current to Round 22, today
KC
Kurt Capewell
New Zealand Warriors · vs PEN
9.5 RUNO —U —
Hit rate
56% (5/9)
enter odds to compare
Avg
9.8
L5
10.4
L10
9.8
High
12
← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering
Splits · o9.5
11SYDMar 067GLDApr 189DOLApr 259PARMay 0210BRIMay 1711DOLJun 279SGIJul 1810CBYJul 2512GLDAug 01?PENAug 079.5
Line Over Under

Tap a bar for full game detail · newest on the right

Game conditionsGo Media Stadium · AucklandRound 23 · 2026-08-07 20:00☁ 10.2°C☂ 0mm (10%)🌬 11.1 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly
Kurtvs all playersStatPEN concedePer game
85.4
53
Run Metresunfavorable
25
1564.5
Kurt 85.4/game
PEN concedes 1564.5/game · league avg 1691.0
#13 of 17 clubs most conceded
1.0
39
Tackle Breaksunfavorable
25
31.2
Kurt 1.0/game
PEN concedes 31.2/game · league avg 32.7
#13 of 17 clubs most conceded
31.7
87
Tacklesfavorable
100
369.8
Kurt 31.7/game
PEN concedes 369.8/game · league avg 345.0
#1 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.2
65
Triesunfavorable
0
2.5
Kurt 0.2/game
PEN concedes 2.5/game · league avg 4.1
#17 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.1
58
Try Assistsunfavorable
0
2.3
Kurt 0.1/game
PEN concedes 2.3/game · league avg 3.5
#17 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.2
58
Line Breaksunfavorable
0
3.9
Kurt 0.2/game
PEN concedes 3.9/game · league avg 5.1
#17 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.7
72
Offloadsunfavorable
6
8.3
Kurt 0.7/game
PEN concedes 8.3/game · league avg 9.8
#16 of 17 clubs most conceded
35.7
66
Post Contact Metresneutral
50
545.3
Kurt 35.7/game
PEN concedes 545.3/game · league avg 545.5
#9 of 17 clubs most conceded
Run Metresunfavorable
Kurt85.4
53
PEN1564.5
25
Kurt 85.4/game
PEN concedes 1564.5/game · league avg 1691.0
#13 of 17 clubs most conceded
Tackle Breaksunfavorable
Kurt1.0

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

PEN concede · Runs

181.3per game · league avg 186.3
#13 of 17 most conceded
Stingy against this stat — the over fights uphill.

Venue split · Runs

At Go Media Stadium8.9(19)
Everywhere else8.9(96)
Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Runs

Wet games (≥1mm)6.0(6)-3.0
Dry games9.0(109)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.

Similar players vs PEN · Runs

Avg diff
+0.5
Avg diff %
+4%
Hit rate
5/8
beat their own average
DateTeamPlayerAvgResultDiff
08-01CBREthan Strange8.911+24%
08-01CBRJed Stuart9.414+49%
08-01CBRAta Mariota9.610+5%
07-23PARDylan Walker9.18-12%
07-23PARKelma Tuilagi9.711+13%
07-23PARSam Tuivaiti9.715+54%
07-16BRIBen Talty8.48-4%
07-16BRIGrant Anderson8.40-100%
Similar = season average within ±1.5 of Kurt's. Computed from this app's own records.
39
PEN31.2
25
Kurt 1.0/game
PEN concedes 31.2/game · league avg 32.7
#13 of 17 clubs most conceded
Tacklesfavorable
Kurt31.7
87
PEN369.8
100
Kurt 31.7/game
PEN concedes 369.8/game · league avg 345.0
#1 of 17 clubs most conceded
Triesunfavorable
Kurt0.2
65
PEN2.5
0
Kurt 0.2/game
PEN concedes 2.5/game · league avg 4.1
#17 of 17 clubs most conceded
Try Assistsunfavorable
Kurt0.1
58
PEN2.3
0
Kurt 0.1/game
PEN concedes 2.3/game · league avg 3.5
#17 of 17 clubs most conceded
Line Breaksunfavorable
Kurt0.2
58
PEN3.9
0
Kurt 0.2/game
PEN concedes 3.9/game · league avg 5.1
#17 of 17 clubs most conceded
Offloadsunfavorable
Kurt0.7
72
PEN8.3
6
Kurt 0.7/game
PEN concedes 8.3/game · league avg 9.8
#16 of 17 clubs most conceded
Post Contact Metresneutral
Kurt35.7
66
PEN545.3
50
Kurt 35.7/game
PEN concedes 545.3/game · league avg 545.5
#9 of 17 clubs most conceded
All
See allaflThu 19:30WBD◄NOR◄Fri 19:40BRI◄HAW◄See allnrlThu 19:50GLD◄NQL◄Fri 20:00WAR◄PEN◄See allnblFinalSYD113◄ADL101◄See allhorsesR1 13:30Randwick8 racesSee alldogsR1 13:30Wentworth Park8 races