Project Punt — AFL & NRL props, checked

Current to Round 20, yesterday

Luke Davies-Uniacke

North Melbourne · @ HAW

4.5 TKO —U —

Hit rate

44% (8/18)

enter odds to compare

Avg

4.7

3.6

L10

4.6

High

← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering

Line Over Under

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for Round 21 @ HAW

Game conditionsYork Park · LauncestonRound 21 · 2026-08-01 13:35☁ 12.9°C☂ 0mm (2%)🌬 14.5 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly

Lukevs all playersStatHAW concedePer game

25.3Disposals355.0

11.9Kicks205.1

4.0Marks81.7

4.7Tackles60.8

5.7Clearances34.2

5.4Inside 50s51.3

10.7Contested Poss.127.8

0.3Goals12.3

Disposals

Luke25.3

HAW355.0

Kicks

Luke11.9

HAW205.1

Marks

Luke4.0

HAW81.7

Tackles

Luke4.7

HAW60.8

Clearances

Luke5.7

HAW34.2

Inside 50s

Luke5.4

HAW51.3

Contested Poss.

Luke10.7

HAW127.8

Goals

Luke0.3

HAW12.3

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

HAW concede · Tackles

60.8per game · league avg 56.9

#5 of 18 most conceded

They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Tackles

At York Park3.0(3)-0.8

Everywhere else3.8(138)

Only 3 games at this ground — thin evidence.

Wet vs dry · Tackles

Wet games (≥1mm)3.9(9)+0.1

Dry games3.8(132)

Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.