AFL
PProjectPunt
Paul Curtis
Paul Curtis
North Melbourne · vs STK
3.5 TKO U
Hit rate
47% (7/15)
enter odds to compare
Avg
3.5
L5
4.4
L10
4.2
High
7
← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering
1PORMar 152WCEMar 222ESSMar 282CARApr 034BRIApr 114RICApr 195GWSApr 265GEEMay 023SYDMay 093ADEMay 165GCSMay 236FREJun 067WCEJun 132COLJul 102MELJul 18?STKJul 263.5
Line Over Under

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for Round 20 vs STK
Game conditionsDocklands · MelbourneRound 20 · 2026-07-26 15:15Roof — weather neutral

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly
Disposals
Paul12.2
STK379.3
Kicks
Paul8.1
STK220.4
Marks
Paul3.9
STK100.9
Tackles
Paul3.5
STK50.0
Clearances
Paul1.0
STK34.4
Inside 50s
Paul2.1
STK52.1
Contested poss.
Paul5.0
STK123.7
Goals
Paul1.9
STK12.4

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

STK concede · Tackles

50.0per game · league avg 56.9
#17 of 18 most conceded
Stingy against this stat — the over fights uphill.

Venue split · Tackles

At Docklands3.1(28)-1.1
Everywhere else4.1(29)
Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Tackles

Wet games (≥1mm)3.7(3)+0.1
Dry games3.6(54)
Only 3 wet games on record — thin evidence.