Project Punt — AFL & NRL props, checked

Current to Round 20, yesterday

Aidan Corr

North Melbourne · @ HAW

1.5 TKO —U —

Hit rate

36% (4/11)

enter odds to compare

Avg

1.3

1.0

L10

1.3

High

← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering

Line Over Under

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for Round 21 @ HAW

Game conditionsYork Park · LauncestonRound 21 · 2026-08-01 13:35☁ 12.9°C☂ 0mm (2%)🌬 14.5 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly

Aidanvs all playersStatHAW concedePer game

12.4Disposals355.0

7.5Kicks205.1

3.7Marks81.7

1.3Tackles60.8

0.1Clearances34.2

0.6Inside 50s51.3

2.7Contested Poss.127.8

0.0Goals12.3

Disposals

Aidan12.4

HAW355.0

Kicks

Aidan7.5

HAW205.1

Marks

Aidan3.7

HAW81.7

Tackles

Aidan1.3

HAW60.8

Clearances

Aidan0.1

HAW34.2

Inside 50s

Aidan0.6

HAW51.3

Contested Poss.

Aidan2.7

HAW127.8

Goals

Aidan0.0

HAW12.3

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

HAW concede · Tackles

60.8per game · league avg 56.9

#5 of 18 most conceded

They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Tackles

At York Park0.5(2)-0.9

Everywhere else1.4(83)

Only 2 games at this ground — thin evidence.

Wet vs dry · Tackles

Wet games (≥1mm)1.3(4)-0.1

Dry games1.4(81)

Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.