Project Punt — AFL & NRL props, checked

Current to Round 20, 2 days ago

James Borlase

Adelaide · @ ESS

1.5 TKO —U —

Hit rate

46% (6/13)

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Avg

1.6

L10

1.6

High

← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering

Line Over Under

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for Round 21 @ ESS

Game conditionsDocklands · MelbourneRound 21 · 2026-08-02 16:40Roof — weather neutral

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly

Jamesvs all playersStatESS concedePer game

11.1Disposals398.8

6.8Kicks232.6

4.1Marks116.9

1.6Tackles50.5

0.1Clearances33.3

0.3Inside 50s55.1

4.5Contested Poss.121.4

0.0Goals15.0

Disposals

James11.1

ESS398.8

Kicks

James6.8

ESS232.6

Marks

James4.1

ESS116.9

Tackles

James1.6

ESS50.5

Clearances

James0.1

ESS33.3

Inside 50s

James0.3

ESS55.1

Contested Poss.

James4.5

ESS121.4

Goals

James0.0

ESS15.0

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

ESS concede · Tackles

50.5per game · league avg 56.9

#16 of 18 most conceded

Stingy against this stat — the over fights uphill.

Venue split · Tackles

At Docklands2.0(1)+0.4

Everywhere else1.6(28)

Only 1 game at this ground — thin evidence.

Wet vs dry · Tackles

Wet games (≥1mm)2.0(1)+0.4

Dry games1.6(28)

Only 1 wet game on record — thin evidence.