AFL
PProjectPunt
ADE
Josh Worrell
Adelaide · vs COL
14.5 KIO U
Hit rate
59% (10/17)
enter odds to compare
Avg
14.6
L5
14.2
L10
13.9
High
21
← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering
16COLMar 1419WBDMar 2021GEEMar 2616FREApr 0313CARApr 0917STKApr 188BRIApr 2614PORMay 0113RICMay 1015NORMay 1616HAWMay 2110GEEJun 0415WBDJun 1117PORJun 2716WCEJul 0312GCSJul 1111SYDJul 17?COLJul 2314.5
Line Over Under

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for Round 20 vs COL
Game conditionsAdelaide Oval · AdelaideRound 20 · 2026-07-23 19:309.9°C0mm (0%)🌬 9.5 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly
Disposals
Josh22.6
COL389.3
Kicks
Josh14.6
COL227.3
Marks
Josh5.8
COL105.6
Tackles
Josh1.7
COL48.4
Clearances
Josh0.5
COL35.6
Inside 50s
Josh1.5
COL55.2
Contested poss.
Josh6.2
COL128.0
Goals
Josh0.0
COL11.6

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

COL concede · Kicks

227.3per game · league avg 213.8
#3 of 18 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Kicks

At Adelaide Oval14.7(31)+1.6
Everywhere else13.1(24)
Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Kicks

Wet games (≥1mm)14.4(5)+0.5
Dry games13.9(50)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.